Fossil Net Income vs. Price To Book

FOSL Stock  USD 4.68  0.12  2.50%   
Taking into consideration Fossil's profitability measurements, Fossil Group may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Fossil's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
1993-03-31
Previous Quarter
-2.3 M
Current Value
-39.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
50.2 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Operating Cash Flow Sales Ratio is expected to rise to 0.08 this year, although the value of Price To Sales Ratio will most likely fall to 0.08. At this time, Fossil's Interest Income is quite stable compared to the past year. Change To Netincome is expected to rise to about 47.6 M this year, although the value of Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income is projected to rise to (70.6 M). Gross Profit is expected to rise to about 866.1 M this year, although the value of Pretax Profit Margin is projected to rise to (0.11).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.410.47
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
For Fossil profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Fossil to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Fossil Group utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Fossil's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Fossil Group over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Fossil's Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

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The next projected EPS of Fossil is estimated to be -0.05 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.05 to a high of -0.05. Fossil's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -1.11. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Fossil Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Fossil is projected to generate -0.05 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Fossil earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Fossil Group EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Fossil's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Fossil, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Fossil Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Fossil's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Fossil's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. Market participants price Fossil higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Fossil assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Earnings Share
(1.11)
Revenue Per Share
20.326
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
Return On Assets
0.0221
Investors evaluate Fossil Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Fossil's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Fossil's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Fossil's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Fossil Group Price To Book vs. Net Income Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Fossil's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Fossil value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Fossil Group is rated below average in net income category among its peers. It is rated below average in price to book category among its peers . The company's current value of Net Loss is estimated at (87.78 Million). Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Fossil by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

Fossil Price To Book vs. Net Income

Net income is the profit of a company for the reporting period, which is derived after taking revenues and gains and subtracting all expenses and losses. Net income is one of the most-watched numbers by money managers as well as individual investors.

Fossil

Net Income

 = 

(Rev + Gain)

-

(Exp + Loss)

 = 
(106.28 M)
Because income is reported on the Income Statement of a company and is measured in dollars some investors prefer to use Profit Margin, which measures income as a percentage of sales.
Price to Book (P/B) ratio is used to relate a company book value to its current market price. A high P/B ratio indicates that investors expect executives to generate more returns on their investments from a given set of assets. Book value is the accounting value of assets minus liabilities.

Fossil

P/B

 = 

MV Per Share

BV Per Share

 = 
0.92 X
Price to Book ratio is mostly used in financial services industries where assets and liabilities are typically represented by dollars. Although low Price to Book ratio generally implies that the firm is undervalued, it is often a good indicator that the company may be in financial or managerial distress and should be investigated more carefully.

Fossil Price To Book Comparison

Fossil is currently under evaluation in price to book category among its peers.

Fossil Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Fossil, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Fossil will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Fossil's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Fossil, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-74.3 M-70.6 M
Operating Income-93.6 M-88.9 M
Income Before Tax-106.3 M-100.9 M
Total Other Income Expense Net-12.7 M-12.1 M
Net Loss-95.6 M-90.9 M
Income Tax Expense-13.6 M-12.9 M
Net Loss-39.7 M-37.8 M
Net Loss-95.6 M-90.9 M
Non Operating Income Net Other-1.3 M-1.2 M
Net Interest Income-16.8 M-17.6 M
Interest Income3.9 M4.1 M
Change To Netincome37.3 M47.6 M
Net Loss(2.23)(2.12)
Income Quality(0.51)(0.53)
Net Income Per E B T 0.78  0.58 

Fossil Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Fossil. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Fossil position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Fossil's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Fossil Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Fossil's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Fossil is estimated to be -0.05 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.05 to a high of -0.05. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Fossil Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.11
-0.05
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.05
-0.05
Highest

Fossil Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Fossil's value are higher than the current market price of the Fossil stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Fossil is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Fossil's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
244.33%
0.11
-0.05
-1.11

Fossil Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Fossil Group analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Fossil's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we suggest analyzing not only Fossil's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Fossil Quarterly Gross Profit

132.43 Million

Retained Earnings is expected to rise to about (92.1 M) this year. The value of Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to slide to about 150 M Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 50.1 M this year, although the value of Net Loss is projected to rise to (37.8 M).
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fossil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.104.699.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.224.348.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.855.4410.02
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.555.005.55
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Fossil assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Fossil. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Fossil's stock price in the short term.

Fossil Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Fossil refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Fossil Group predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Fossil, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Fossil Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Fossil, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Fossil should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Fossil Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Fossil's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
null
nullnullnullnull
2025-11-05
2025-09-30-0.36-0.63-0.2775 
2025-08-13
2025-06-30-0.21-0.10.1152 
2022-11-09
2022-09-300.120.120.0
2022-08-10
2022-06-30-0.33-0.330.0
2022-05-11
2022-03-31-0.37-0.370.0
2022-03-09
2021-12-310.640.640.0
2021-11-10
2021-09-300.690.68-0.01
2021-08-11
2021-06-300.10.07-0.0330 
2021-05-12
2021-03-31-0.26-0.170.0934 
2021-03-10
2020-12-310.180.11-0.0738 
2020-11-11
2020-09-30-0.730.41.13154 
2020-08-12
2020-06-30-1.71-0.231.4886 
2020-06-03
2020-03-31-1.51-1.510.0
2020-02-26
2019-12-310.79-0.03-0.82103 
2019-11-06
2019-09-300.09-0.15-0.24266 
2019-08-07
2019-06-30-0.05-0.040.0120 
2019-05-08
2019-03-31-0.64-0.420.2234 
2019-02-13
2018-12-311.091.01-0.08
2018-11-07
2018-09-30-0.190.190.38200 
2018-08-07
2018-06-30-0.570.170.74129 
2018-05-08
2018-03-31-0.86-0.640.2225 
2018-02-13
2017-12-310.40.640.2460 
2017-11-07
2017-09-30-0.28-0.030.2589 
2017-08-08
2017-06-30-0.46-0.48-0.02
2017-05-09
2017-03-31-0.44-0.65-0.2147 
2017-02-14
2016-12-311.181.03-0.1512 
2016-11-03
2016-09-300.310.360.0516 
2016-08-09
2016-06-300.090.120.0333 
2016-05-10
2016-03-310.150.12-0.0320 
2016-02-16
2015-12-311.31.460.1612 
2015-11-12
2015-09-301.131.190.06
2015-08-11
2015-06-300.821.120.336 
2015-05-05
2015-03-310.640.880.2437 
2015-02-17
2014-12-313.072.92-0.15
2014-11-11
2014-09-301.821.960.14
2014-08-12
2014-06-300.960.980.02
2014-05-13
2014-03-311.171.11-0.06
2014-02-11
2013-12-312.432.680.2510 
2013-11-05
2013-09-301.361.390.03
2013-08-06
2013-06-300.931.150.2223 
2013-05-07
2013-03-310.971.10.1313 
2013-02-12
2012-12-312.262.270.01
2012-11-06
2012-09-301.161.260.1
2012-08-07
2012-06-300.780.920.1417 
2012-05-08
2012-03-310.920.930.01
2012-02-14
2011-12-311.771.870.1
2011-11-08
2011-09-301.031.090.06
2011-08-09
2011-06-300.760.80.04
2011-05-10
2011-03-310.660.860.230 
2011-02-15
2010-12-311.351.460.11
2010-11-09
2010-09-300.751.00.2533 
2010-08-10
2010-06-300.340.80.46135 
2010-05-11
2010-03-310.320.530.2165 
2010-02-16
2009-12-310.911.030.1213 
2009-11-10
2009-09-300.420.520.123 
2009-08-11
2009-06-300.20.250.0525 
2009-05-12
2009-03-310.160.260.162 
2009-02-17
2008-12-310.690.690.0
2008-11-11
2008-09-300.490.540.0510 
2008-08-12
2008-06-300.250.360.1144 
2008-05-13
2008-03-310.40.430.03
2008-02-19
2007-12-310.670.750.0811 
2007-11-13
2007-09-300.340.430.0926 
2007-08-14
2007-06-300.190.210.0210 
2007-02-20
2006-12-310.460.550.0919 
2006-11-14
2006-09-300.310.320.01
2006-08-15
2006-06-300.120.160.0433 
2006-05-16
2006-03-310.120.140.0216 
2006-02-21
2005-12-310.290.310.02
2005-11-08
2005-09-300.280.30.02
2005-08-09
2005-06-300.140.13-0.01
2005-05-10
2005-03-310.260.320.0623 
2005-02-22
2004-12-310.50.50.0
2004-11-09
2004-09-300.310.310.0
2004-08-10
2004-06-300.170.210.0423 
2004-05-10
2004-03-310.20.220.0210 
2004-02-24
2003-12-310.370.390.02
2003-11-11
2003-09-300.220.230.01
2003-08-12
2003-06-300.130.140.01
2003-05-13
2003-03-310.160.170.01
2003-02-25
2002-12-310.320.320.0
2002-11-12
2002-09-300.220.19-0.0313 
2002-08-13
2002-06-300.140.13-0.01
2002-05-14
2002-03-310.220.250.0313 
2002-02-26
2001-12-310.380.390.01
2001-11-13
2001-09-300.220.230.01
2001-08-14
2001-06-300.150.150.0
2001-05-15
2001-03-310.20.210.01
2001-02-20
2000-12-310.350.380.03
2000-11-08
2000-09-300.260.270.01
2000-08-08
2000-06-300.240.240.0
2000-05-09
2000-03-310.240.250.01
2000-02-22
1999-12-310.310.370.0619 
1999-11-09
1999-09-300.240.260.02
1999-08-10
1999-06-300.180.20.0211 
1999-05-11
1999-03-310.120.220.183 
1999-02-23
1998-12-310.20.270.0735 
1998-11-10
1998-09-300.140.180.0428 
1998-08-11
1998-06-300.10.120.0220 
1998-05-12
1998-03-310.080.10.0225 
1998-02-24
1997-12-310.130.140.01
1997-11-11
1997-09-300.10.120.0220 
1997-08-12
1997-06-300.070.080.0114 
1997-05-13
1997-03-310.050.070.0240 
1997-02-20
1996-12-310.10.110.0110 
1996-11-06
1996-09-300.080.090.0112 
1996-08-06
1996-06-300.070.06-0.0114 
1996-05-07
1996-03-310.040.050.0125 
1996-02-19
1995-12-310.080.090.0112 
1995-11-05
1995-09-300.080.06-0.0225 

Use Fossil in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Fossil position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Fossil will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Fossil Pair Trading

Fossil Group Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Fossil could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Fossil when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Fossil - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Fossil Group to buy it.
The correlation of Fossil is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Fossil moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Fossil Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Fossil can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Fossil position

In addition to having Fossil in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Small Blend Funds Thematic Idea Now

Small Blend Funds
Small Blend Funds Theme
Fund or Etfs that invest in stocks of small to mid-sized entities that have characteristics of both growth and value companies. The Small Blend Funds theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Small Blend Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Fossil Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fossil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fossil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fossil Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
To fully project Fossil's future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of Fossil Group at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Fossil's income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.
Potential Fossil investors and stakeholders can use historical trends found within financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned for the future. Although Fossil investors may work on each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Fossil's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Fossil's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.