Fossil Group Stock Performance
| FOSL Stock | USD 1.06 0.13 13.98% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.52, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Fossil will likely underperform. At this point, Fossil Group has a negative expected return of -0.74%. Please make sure to confirm Fossil's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Fossil Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Very Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Fossil Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite abnormal performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in May 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
Last Split Factor 3:2 | Last Split Date 2004-04-12 |
1 | Fossil Group, Inc. Announces Date for Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Release and ... | 02/26/2025 |
2 | Fossil Fuels Are the Future, Chris Wright Tells African Leaders | 03/07/2025 |
3 | Green Industrial Gases Market Report 2025 Green Hydrogen is expected to Revolutionize the Energy, Transportation and Chemical Sectors by Providing a Zero-Emissi... | 03/13/2025 |
4 | Immaculate Feather Fossil Reveals the Unlikely Preserving Power of Volcanoes | 03/18/2025 |
5 | Scientists Discover a 30,000-Year-Old Fossil That Shouldnt Exist | 03/20/2025 |
6 | Why Does Geothermals Messaging Sound Like Fossil Fuel Nuclears | 03/21/2025 |
7 | Geothermal Heat Pumps Are Quietly Undermining Fossil Industrial Heat | 03/25/2025 |
8 | Disposition of 1977 shares by Melissa Lowenkron of Fossil at 5.71 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/26/2025 |
9 | She Inspired Laws to Hold the Fossil Fuel Industry Accountable. Now Shes a Target. | 03/27/2025 |
10 | Fossil fuels drive climate, health and biodiversity crises, scientists warn | 03/31/2025 |
11 | Milestone Investment Advisors LLC Has 3.37 Million Holdings in SPDR SP Fossil Fuel Reserves Free ETF | 04/03/2025 |
12 | 80-Million-Year-Old Fossil Site Reveals Dinosaur Behavior No One Expected | 04/08/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 121.6 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 39.9 M |
Fossil |
Fossil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 189.00 in Fossil Group on January 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (83.00) from holding Fossil Group or give up 43.92% of portfolio value over 90 days. Fossil Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.299% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 56% of stocks are less volatile than Fossil, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Fossil Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fossil's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Fossil Group, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Fossil's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.118
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | FOSL |
Estimated Market Risk
| 6.3 actual daily | 56 56% of assets are less volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.74 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.12 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Fossil is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Fossil by adding Fossil to a well-diversified portfolio.
Fossil Fundamentals Growth
Fossil Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fossil, and Fossil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fossil Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.55 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0246 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.09) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 241.76 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 53.26 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 21.04 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.33 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.05 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.14 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 604.47 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (83.07 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (106.28 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 162.61 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.14 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 315.83 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.27 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.37 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.79 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 46.68 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.94) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 56.45 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 763.57 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (84.27 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 227.94 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 269.52 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 106.24 M | ||||
About Fossil Performance
By examining Fossil's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Fossil's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Fossil is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 161.14 | 154.43 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.04) | (0.04) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.02) | (0.02) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.04) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.11) | (0.10) |
Things to note about Fossil Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fossil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Fossil Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fossil Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fossil Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Fossil Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (106.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 604.47 M. | |
| Latest headline from dailygalaxy.com: 80-Million-Year-Old Fossil Site Reveals Dinosaur Behavior No One Expected |
- Analyzing Fossil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fossil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Fossil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Fossil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fossil's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fossil's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Fossil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fossil Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. If investors know Fossil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fossil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (1.94) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Fossil Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fossil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fossil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fossil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fossil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fossil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fossil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.