Fossil Group Stock Performance

Fossil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  208.00  in Fossil Group on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  173.00  from holding Fossil Group or generate 83.17% return on investment over 90 days. Fossil Group is currently generating 1.1549% in daily expected returns and assumes 5.6975% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 51% of stocks are less volatile than Fossil, and 77% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fossil is expected to generate 7.55 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 7.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Fossil Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.64 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fossil will likely underperform. Additionally Fossil Group has an alpha of 0.6987, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).

Predictive Modules for Fossil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fossil Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.18 3.63 9.33 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.21 4.17 9.87 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 0.07 3.73 9.42 Details

0 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 4.55 5.00 5.55 Details

Fossil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fossil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fossil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fossil Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fossil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

Fossil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fossil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fossil Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Fossil Price Density Drivers

Fossil Fundamentals Growth

Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fossil Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. Market participants price Fossil higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Fossil assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.

Investors evaluate Fossil Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Fossil's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Fossil's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Fossil's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.