Fossil Group Stock Z Score

FOSL Stock

USD 1.15 0.05 4.17%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Fossil Piotroski F Score and Fossil Valuation analysis.

At this time, Fossil's Change In Working Capital is quite stable compared to the past year. Total Debt To Capitalization is expected to rise to 0.33 this year, although the value of Capital Expenditures will most likely fall to about 9.4 M. At this time, Fossil's Research Development is quite stable compared to the past year. Reconciled Depreciation is expected to rise to about 36.5 M this year, although the value of Other Operating Expenses will most likely fall to about 1.5 B.

Fossil Group Company Z Score Analysis

Fossil's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Fossil Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Fossil is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Fossil Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Fossil's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Fossil's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Fossil's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Good Will	Common Stock	Short Term Investments	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Long Term Debt	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.85	0.35	0.71	0.66	0.94	0.83	0.97	-0.21	0.79	0.74	0.54	0.12	0.86	0.2	0.73	-0.15	0.69	-0.18	0.5	-0.28	0.13	0.43	0.41	-0.38
Total Stockholder Equity	0.85		-0.09	0.96	0.38	0.83	0.44	0.8	-0.47	0.72	0.63	0.55	0.1	0.95	-0.1	0.41	0.35	0.36	-0.53	0.78	0.21	0.09	0.65	0.66	-0.57
Net Debt	0.35	-0.09		-0.24	0.24	0.26	0.64	0.25	0.05	0.36	0.53	-0.19	0.38	0.09	0.38	0.79	-0.68	0.82	0.27	-0.1	-0.58	-0.2	-0.17	-0.14	0.18
Retained Earnings	0.71	0.96	-0.24		0.24	0.68	0.26	0.68	-0.54	0.65	0.51	0.51	0.13	0.89	-0.05	0.28	0.52	0.23	-0.63	0.83	0.4	0.06	0.7	0.72	-0.61
Accounts Payable	0.66	0.38	0.24	0.24		0.61	0.78	0.74	0.13	0.33	0.24	0.58	-0.16	0.3	0.18	0.39	-0.57	0.36	0.46	-0.15	-0.6	0.02	-0.13	-0.12	-0.08
Net Receivables	0.94	0.83	0.26	0.68	0.61		0.76	0.95	-0.22	0.76	0.58	0.57	-0.04	0.87	0.19	0.66	-0.08	0.63	-0.17	0.48	-0.31	0.13	0.43	0.42	-0.39
Total Liab	0.83	0.44	0.64	0.26	0.78	0.76		0.83	0.05	0.64	0.6	0.28	0.14	0.51	0.46	0.81	-0.61	0.77	0.25	0.08	-0.65	0.18	0.12	0.09	-0.25
Total Current Assets	0.97	0.8	0.25	0.68	0.74	0.95	0.83		-0.13	0.75	0.57	0.61	-0.02	0.81	0.29	0.66	-0.18	0.63	-0.09	0.4	-0.36	0.2	0.4	0.38	-0.37
Short Term Debt	-0.21	-0.47	0.05	-0.54	0.13	-0.22	0.05	-0.13		-0.34	-0.17	0.13	-0.26	-0.51	0.06	-0.15	-0.59	-0.1	0.7	-0.66	-0.55	0.48	-0.62	-0.74	0.57
Intangible Assets	0.79	0.72	0.36	0.65	0.33	0.76	0.64	0.75	-0.34		0.74	0.1	0.48	0.82	0.24	0.82	0.01	0.78	-0.41	0.56	0.01	0.26	0.74	0.72	-0.6
Good Will	0.74	0.63	0.53	0.51	0.24	0.58	0.6	0.57	-0.17	0.74		0.11	0.6	0.66	0.01	0.75	-0.14	0.74	-0.3	0.56	-0.05	0.08	0.38	0.38	-0.27
Common Stock	0.54	0.55	-0.19	0.51	0.58	0.57	0.28	0.61	0.13	0.1	0.11		-0.45	0.41	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	0.0	0.15	0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-0.14	-0.14	0.18
Short Term Investments	0.12	0.1	0.38	0.13	-0.16	-0.04	0.14	-0.02	-0.26	0.48	0.6	-0.45		0.12	0.11	0.45	-0.06	0.44	-0.24	0.21	0.22	0.01	0.35	0.38	-0.29
Property Plant Equipment	0.86	0.95	0.09	0.89	0.3	0.87	0.51	0.81	-0.51	0.82	0.66	0.41	0.12		0.05	0.58	0.32	0.54	-0.59	0.82	0.16	0.09	0.73	0.74	-0.61
Current Deferred Revenue	0.2	-0.1	0.38	-0.05	0.18	0.19	0.46	0.29	0.06	0.24	0.01	-0.14	0.11	0.05		0.44	-0.29	0.43	0.14	-0.07	-0.41	0.27	0.13	0.07	-0.18
Long Term Debt	0.73	0.41	0.79	0.28	0.39	0.66	0.81	0.66	-0.15	0.82	0.75	-0.01	0.45	0.58	0.44		-0.4	0.99	-0.1	0.33	-0.4	0.03	0.36	0.37	-0.26
Net Tangible Assets	-0.15	0.35	-0.68	0.52	-0.57	-0.08	-0.61	-0.18	-0.59	0.01	-0.14	-0.04	-0.06	0.32	-0.29	-0.4		-0.42	-0.84	0.66	0.87	-0.04	0.59	0.62	-0.41
Long Term Debt Total	0.69	0.36	0.82	0.23	0.36	0.63	0.77	0.63	-0.1	0.78	0.74	0.0	0.44	0.54	0.43	0.99	-0.42		-0.07	0.29	-0.43	0.0	0.3	0.31	-0.15
Capital Surpluse	-0.18	-0.53	0.27	-0.63	0.46	-0.17	0.25	-0.09	0.7	-0.41	-0.3	0.15	-0.24	-0.59	0.14	-0.1	-0.84	-0.07		-0.85	-0.74	0.03	-0.82	-0.85	0.51
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.5	0.78	-0.1	0.83	-0.15	0.48	0.08	0.4	-0.66	0.56	0.56	0.13	0.21	0.82	-0.07	0.33	0.66	0.29	-0.85		0.54	-0.08	0.73	0.78	-0.57
Long Term Investments	-0.28	0.21	-0.58	0.4	-0.6	-0.31	-0.65	-0.36	-0.55	0.01	-0.05	-0.23	0.22	0.16	-0.41	-0.4	0.87	-0.43	-0.74	0.54		-0.06	0.52	0.55	-0.41
Short Long Term Debt	0.13	0.09	-0.2	0.06	0.02	0.13	0.18	0.2	0.48	0.26	0.08	-0.07	0.01	0.09	0.27	0.03	-0.04	0.0	0.03	-0.08	-0.06		0.3	0.11	-0.33
Net Invested Capital	0.43	0.65	-0.17	0.7	-0.13	0.43	0.12	0.4	-0.62	0.74	0.38	-0.14	0.35	0.73	0.13	0.36	0.59	0.3	-0.82	0.73	0.52	0.3		0.98	-0.82
Net Working Capital	0.41	0.66	-0.14	0.72	-0.12	0.42	0.09	0.38	-0.74	0.72	0.38	-0.14	0.38	0.74	0.07	0.37	0.62	0.31	-0.85	0.78	0.55	0.11	0.98		-0.79
Capital Stock	-0.38	-0.57	0.18	-0.61	-0.08	-0.39	-0.25	-0.37	0.57	-0.6	-0.27	0.18	-0.29	-0.61	-0.18	-0.26	-0.41	-0.15	0.51	-0.57	-0.41	-0.33	-0.82	-0.79

Click cells to compare fundamentals

To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict Fossil

According to the company's disclosures, Fossil Group has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector and 100.0% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Fossil Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Fossil that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Fossil's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Fossil's value.

		Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc	2024-06-30	364 K
Amvescap Plc.	2024-06-30	359.1 K
Jane Street Group Llc	2024-06-30	276.5 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp	2024-06-30	262.2 K
Rbf Llc	2024-06-30	257.1 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts	2024-06-30	253.9 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.	2024-09-30	194.8 K
State Street Corp	2024-06-30	182 K
Citadel Advisors Llc	2024-06-30	132.2 K
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc	2024-06-30	3.8 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc	2024-06-30	2.3 M

Fossil Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	-0.56
	Return On Asset	-0.0419
	Profit Margin	(0.10) %
	Operating Margin	(0.06) %
	Current Valuation	294.3 M
	Shares Outstanding	53.19 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	11.64 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	37.42 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	1.41 M
	Price To Earning	21.04 X
	Price To Book	0.39 X
	Price To Sales	0.05 X
	Revenue	1.41 B
	Gross Profit	830.68 M
	EBITDA	(115.26 M)
	Net Income	(157.09 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	162.61 M
	Cash Per Share	3.14 X
	Total Debt	388.67 M
	Debt To Equity	1.27 %
	Current Ratio	2.37 X
	Book Value Per Share	3.09 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	(59.46 M)
	Short Ratio	5.74 X
	Earnings Per Share	(2.33) X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	(4.34) X
	Target Price	7.0
	Number Of Employees	6.1 K
	Beta	2.19
	Market Capitalization	63.83 M
	Total Asset	978.03 M
	Retained Earnings	18.4 M
	Working Capital	368.21 M
	Current Asset	269.52 M
	Current Liabilities	106.24 M
	Net Asset	978.03 M

About Fossil Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Fossil Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Fossil using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fossil Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Fossil Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fossil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fossil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fossil Stock, refer to the following important reports:

How To Invest In Fossil

Details

Is Fossil Stock a good investment?

Details

What is Fossil's Net Worth?

Details

Largest Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods Companies

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Largest Consumer Durables & Apparel Companies

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Check out Fossil Piotroski F Score and Fossil Valuation analysis.

You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. If investors know Fossil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fossil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.82)

Earnings Share

(2.33)

Revenue Per Share

23.195

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.16)

Return On Assets

(0.04)

The market value of Fossil Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fossil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fossil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fossil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fossil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fossil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fossil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

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Fossil Group Stock Z Score

Fossil Group Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Fossil Z Score Driver Correlations

Fossil Institutional Holders

Fossil Fundamentals

About Fossil Fundamental Analysis

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

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