Harley Davidson Shares Outstanding vs. Current Valuation

HOG Stock  USD 33.46  1.04  3.01%   
Considering Harley Davidson's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Harley Davidson may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in December. Profitability indicators assess Harley Davidson's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders. At this time, Harley Davidson's Sales General And Administrative To Revenue is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The Harley Davidson's current Days Of Sales Outstanding is estimated to increase to 156.34, while EV To Sales is projected to decrease to 1.83. At this time, Harley Davidson's Net Income From Continuing Ops is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Harley Davidson's current Non Operating Income Net Other is estimated to increase to about 64.2 M, while Operating Income is projected to decrease to roughly 636.9 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.270.3558
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Net Profit Margin0.07350.1211
Way Down
Very volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.110.1335
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Return On Assets0.09520.0582
Way Up
Very volatile
Return On Equity0.190.2172
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
For Harley Davidson profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Harley Davidson to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Harley Davidson utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Harley Davidson's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Harley Davidson over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
  

Harley Davidson's Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

Check out Risk vs Return Analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in Harley Stock please use our How to Invest in Harley Davidson guide.
Is Motorcycle Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Harley Davidson. If investors know Harley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Harley Davidson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.34)
Dividend Share
0.683
Earnings Share
4.49
Revenue Per Share
41.279
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.26)
The market value of Harley Davidson is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Harley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Harley Davidson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Harley Davidson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Harley Davidson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Harley Davidson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Harley Davidson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harley Davidson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harley Davidson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Harley Davidson Current Valuation vs. Shares Outstanding Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Harley Davidson's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Harley Davidson value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Harley Davidson is one of the top stocks in shares outstanding category among its peers. It also is rated as one of the top companies in current valuation category among its peers reporting about  78.53  of Current Valuation per Shares Outstanding. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Harley Davidson by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

Harley Current Valuation vs. Shares Outstanding

Outstanding Shares are shares of common stock of a public company that were purchased by investors after they were authorized and issued by the company to the public. Outstanding Shares are typically reported on fully diluted basis, including exotic instruments such as options, or convertibles bonds.

Harley Davidson

Shares Outstanding

 = 

Public Shares

-

Repurchased

 = 
127.33 M
Outstanding shares that are stated on company Balance Sheet are used when calculating many important valuation and performance indicators including Return on Equity, Market Cap, EPS and many others.
Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account the entire liquid asset, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.

Harley Davidson

Enterprise Value

 = 

Market Cap + Debt

-

Cash

 = 
10 B
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.

Harley Current Valuation vs Competition

Harley Davidson is rated as one of the top companies in current valuation category among its peers. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Consumer Discretionary industry is currently estimated at about 124.75 Billion. Harley Davidson holds roughly 10 Billion in current valuation claiming about 8% of stocks in Consumer Discretionary industry.

Harley Davidson Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Harley Davidson, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Harley Davidson will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Harley Davidson's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Harley Davidson, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-305 M-320.2 M
Operating Income779.1 M636.9 M
Income Before Tax866.9 M673.2 M
Total Other Income Expense Net87.8 M92.2 M
Net Income706.6 M500.6 M
Income Tax Expense171.8 M223.5 M
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares667.3 M489.8 M
Net Income From Continuing Ops695 M734.3 M
Non Operating Income Net Other61.2 M64.2 M
Interest Income30.7 M24.4 M
Net Interest Income-30.8 M-32.3 M
Change To Netincome-76.5 M-72.7 M
Net Income Per Share 4.96  5.21 
Income Quality 1.07  1.01 
Net Income Per E B T 0.82  0.48 

Harley Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Harley Davidson. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Harley Davidson position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Harley Davidson's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Use Harley Davidson in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Harley Davidson position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Harley Davidson will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Harley Davidson Pair Trading

Harley Davidson Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Harley Davidson could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Harley Davidson when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Harley Davidson - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Harley Davidson to buy it.
The correlation of Harley Davidson is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Harley Davidson moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Harley Davidson moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Harley Davidson can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Harley Davidson position

In addition to having Harley Davidson in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Moderate Funds
Moderate Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that combine stocks, bonds and money market instruments to get modest capital appreciation over time. The Moderate Funds theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Moderate Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Harley Davidson is a strong investment it is important to analyze Harley Davidson's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Harley Davidson's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Harley Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in Harley Stock please use our How to Invest in Harley Davidson guide.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
To fully project Harley Davidson's future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of Harley Davidson at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Harley Davidson's income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.
Potential Harley Davidson investors and stakeholders can use historical trends found within financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned for the future. Although Harley Davidson investors may work on each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Harley Davidson's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Harley Davidson's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.