Mastercard Profitability Analysis

MA Stock  USD 568.57  0.00  0.00%   
Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Mastercard's financial statements, Mastercard may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in February. Profitability indicators assess Mastercard's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2002-06-30
Previous Quarter
3.7 B
Current Value
3.9 B
Quarterly Volatility
1.1 B
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
At present, Mastercard's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Days Sales Outstanding is expected to grow to 59.82, whereas Sales General And Administrative To Revenue is forecasted to decline to 0.13. At present, Mastercard's Operating Income is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Income is expected to grow to about 15.5 B, whereas Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income is projected to grow to (1.2 B). The current year's Gross Profit is expected to grow to about 26 B, whereas Pretax Profit Margin is forecasted to decline to 0.30.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.860.88
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.210.41
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.270.5
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Pretax Profit Margin0.30.49
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Return On Assets0.130.24
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity1.881.79
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
For Mastercard profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Mastercard to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Mastercard utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Mastercard's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Mastercard over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Mastercard's Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

Check out Correlation Analysis.
For information on how to trade Mastercard Stock refer to our How to Trade Mastercard Stock guide.The next projected EPS of Mastercard is estimated to be 4.25 with future projections ranging from a low of 3.9875 to a high of 4.16. Mastercard's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 15.66. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Mastercard is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
Mastercard is projected to generate 4.25 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. Mastercard earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Mastercard EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Mastercard's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Mastercard, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Mastercard Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Mastercard's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Mastercard's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Is Transaction & Payment Processing Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mastercard. If investors know Mastercard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mastercard listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.229
Dividend Share
3.04
Earnings Share
15.66
Revenue Per Share
34.587
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.167
The market value of Mastercard is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mastercard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mastercard's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mastercard's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mastercard's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mastercard's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mastercard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mastercard is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mastercard's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mastercard Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Mastercard's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Mastercard value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Mastercard is considered to be number one stock in return on equity category among its peers. It also is considered to be number one stock in return on asset category among its peers reporting about  0.12  of Return On Asset per Return On Equity. The ratio of Return On Equity to Return On Asset for Mastercard is roughly  8.02 . At present, Mastercard's Return On Equity is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Mastercard's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.

Mastercard's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Mastercard Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity

Return on Equity or ROE tells company stockholders how effectually their money is being utilized or reinvested. It is a useful ratio when analyzing company profitability or the management effectiveness given the capital invested by the shareholders. ROE shows how efficiently a company utilizes investments to generate income.

Mastercard

Return On Equity

 = 

Net Income

Total Equity

 = 
1.85
For most industries, Return on Equity between 10% and 30% are considered desirable to provide dividends to owners and have funds for the future growth of the company. Investors should be very careful using ROE as the only efficiency indicator because ROE can be high if a company is heavily leveraged.
Return on Asset or ROA shows how effective is the management of the company in generating income from utilizing all of the assets at their disposal. It is a useful ratio to evaluate the performance of different departments of a company as well as to understand management performance over time.

Mastercard

Return On Asset

 = 

Net Income

Total Assets

 = 
0.23
Return on Asset measures overall efficiency of a company in generating profits from its total assets. It is expressed as the percentage of profits earned per dollar of Asset. A low ROA typically means that a company is asset-intensive and therefore will needs more money to continue generating revenue in the future.

Mastercard Return On Asset Comparison

Mastercard is currently under evaluation in return on asset category among its peers.

Mastercard Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Mastercard, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Mastercard will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Mastercard's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Mastercard, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-1.3 B-1.2 B
Operating Income17.9 B18.8 B
Total Other Income Expense Net-295.2 M-280.4 M
Net Income14.8 B15.5 B
Income Tax Expense2.7 B2.9 B
Income Before Tax17.5 B18.4 B
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares14.8 B15.5 B
Net Income From Continuing Ops14.8 B15.5 B
Non Operating Income Net Other-70.2 M-66.6 M
Interest Income400.2 M231.7 M
Net Interest Income-581.4 M-552.3 M
Change To Netincome-280.8 M-266.8 M
Net Income Per Share 12.53  13.15 
Income Quality 1.32  1.64 
Net Income Per E B T 0.76  0.56 

Mastercard Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Mastercard. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Mastercard position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Mastercard's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Mastercard Profitability Trends

Mastercard profitability trend refers to the progression of profit or loss within a business. An upward trend means that Mastercard's profit has generally increased over time, and a downward profitability trend means profits are declining. Recognizing problems early in profitability trends allows investors to address revenue and cost issues in advance. Investors and analysts usually monitor three types of profitability trends: gross, operating, and net. Gross profit is the difference between revenue and costs of goods sold. Operating profit is Mastercard's gross profit minus its overhead. After you account for other unusual revenue, expenses, and costs, you get net profit. Gross profit trends are often a good indicator of future profitability. If you have high gross profit margins, you have a better chance to cover overhead and make money.

Mastercard Profitability Drivers Correlations

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize and read into endless financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties. Understanding the correlation between Mastercard different financial indicators related to revenue and profit generation helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Mastercard in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between profit drivers that are directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to break down Mastercard's future profitability.

Mastercard Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Mastercard's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Mastercard is estimated to be 4.25 with the future projection ranging from a low of 3.9875 to a high of 4.16. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Mastercard is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
4.38
3.99
Lowest
Expected EPS
4.25
4.16
Highest

Mastercard Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Mastercard's value are higher than the current market price of the Mastercard stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Mastercard is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Mastercard's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
3996.5%
4.38
4.25
15.66

Mastercard Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Mastercard analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Mastercard's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Mastercard's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Mastercard Quarterly Gross Profit

6.71 Billion

At present, Mastercard's Retained Earnings are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to grow to about 64.7 B, whereas Earnings Yield is forecasted to decline to 0.02. The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 1.2 B. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 15.5 B.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
561.86563.06564.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
561.46562.66563.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
549.16550.36551.57
Details
42 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
598.71657.92730.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mastercard. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mastercard's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mastercard's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mastercard. Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Mastercard assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Mastercard. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Mastercard's stock price in the short term.

Mastercard Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Mastercard refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Mastercard predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Mastercard, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Mastercard Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Mastercard, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Mastercard should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Mastercard Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Mastercard's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-10-30
2025-09-304.314.380.07
2025-07-31
2025-06-304.024.150.13
2025-05-01
2025-03-313.563.730.17
2025-01-30
2024-12-313.693.820.13
2024-10-31
2024-09-303.753.890.14
2024-07-31
2024-06-303.513.590.08
2024-05-01
2024-03-313.243.310.07
2024-01-31
2023-12-313.083.180.1
2023-10-26
2023-09-303.213.390.18
2023-07-27
2023-06-302.832.890.06
2023-04-27
2023-03-312.712.80.09
2023-01-26
2022-12-312.582.650.07
2022-10-27
2022-09-302.572.680.11
2022-07-28
2022-06-302.362.560.2
2022-04-28
2022-03-312.162.760.627 
2022-01-27
2021-12-312.212.350.14
2021-10-28
2021-09-302.192.370.18
2021-07-29
2021-06-301.751.950.211 
2021-04-29
2021-03-311.561.740.1811 
2021-01-28
2020-12-311.521.640.12
2020-10-28
2020-09-301.661.6-0.06
2020-07-30
2020-06-301.181.360.1815 
2020-04-29
2020-03-311.741.830.09
2020-01-29
2019-12-311.871.960.09
2019-10-29
2019-09-302.012.150.14
2019-07-30
2019-06-301.831.890.06
2019-04-30
2019-03-311.661.780.12
2019-01-31
2018-12-311.521.550.03
2018-10-30
2018-09-301.681.780.1
2018-07-26
2018-06-301.531.660.13
2018-05-02
2018-03-311.241.50.2620 
2018-02-01
2017-12-311.121.140.02
2017-10-31
2017-09-301.231.340.11
2017-07-27
2017-06-301.041.10.06
2017-05-02
2017-03-310.951.010.06
2017-01-31
2016-12-310.860.860.0
2016-10-28
2016-09-300.981.080.110 
2016-07-28
2016-06-300.90.960.06
2016-04-28
2016-03-310.850.860.01
2016-01-29
2015-12-310.680.790.1116 
2015-10-29
2015-09-300.870.910.04
2015-07-29
2015-06-300.850.850.0
2015-04-29
2015-03-310.80.890.0911 
2015-01-30
2014-12-310.670.690.02
2014-10-30
2014-09-300.780.870.0911 
2014-07-31
2014-06-300.770.80.03
2014-05-01
2014-03-310.720.730.01
2014-01-31
2013-12-310.60.57-0.03
2013-10-31
2013-09-300.690.730.04
2013-07-31
2013-06-300.630.70.0711 
2013-05-01
2013-03-310.620.620.0
2013-01-31
2012-12-310.480.490.01
2012-10-31
2012-09-300.590.620.03
2012-08-01
2012-06-300.560.560.0
2012-05-02
2012-03-310.530.540.01
2012-02-02
2011-12-310.390.40.01
2011-11-02
2011-09-300.480.560.0816 
2011-08-03
2011-06-300.420.480.0614 
2011-05-03
2011-03-310.410.430.02
2011-02-03
2010-12-310.310.320.01
2010-11-02
2010-09-300.350.390.0411 
2010-08-03
2010-06-300.330.350.02
2010-05-04
2010-03-310.310.350.0412 
2010-02-04
2009-12-310.250.22-0.0312 
2009-11-03
2009-09-300.290.350.0620 
2009-07-30
2009-06-300.240.270.0312 
2009-05-01
2009-03-310.260.280.02
2009-02-05
2008-12-310.160.190.0318 
2008-11-03
2008-09-300.220.250.0313 
2008-07-31
2008-06-300.20.210.01
2008-04-29
2008-03-310.20.260.0630 
2008-01-31
2007-12-310.070.090.0228 
2007-10-31
2007-09-300.140.180.0428 
2007-08-01
2007-06-300.130.140.01
2007-05-02
2007-03-310.120.160.0433 
2007-02-09
2006-12-310.010.030.02200 
2006-11-01
2006-09-300.110.140.0327 
2006-08-02
2006-06-300.070.070.0

Use Mastercard in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Mastercard position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mastercard will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Mastercard Pair Trading

Mastercard Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Mastercard could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Mastercard when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Mastercard - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Mastercard to buy it.
The correlation of Mastercard is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Mastercard moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Mastercard moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Mastercard can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Mastercard position

In addition to having Mastercard in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Macroaxis Picks Theme
Daily selected watch list of stocks of large companies handpicked by Macroaxis Team based on their diversification potential. The Macroaxis Picks theme has 35 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Macroaxis Picks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Correlation Analysis.
For information on how to trade Mastercard Stock refer to our How to Trade Mastercard Stock guide.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
To fully project Mastercard's future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of Mastercard at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Mastercard's income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.
Potential Mastercard investors and stakeholders can use historical trends found within financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned for the future. Although Mastercard investors may work on each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Mastercard's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Mastercard's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.