The AES Stock Analysis
| AES Stock | USD 14.33 0.04 0.28% |
At the current market price of $14.33, AES trades below the analyst target price of $15.11. The framework below evaluates AES by comparing modeled intrinsic value to current market pricing. Elevated leverage relative to utilities peers shapes the risk profile for AES, placing debt coverage and refinancing capacity alongside profitability as primary analytical inputs.
AES has $30.33 billion in total debt, producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.07 relative to utilities peers — debt reduction depends on sustained free cash flow generation, particularly given the impact of non-cash charges on reported earnings. AES's interest coverage ratio provides a more immediate signal of debt service capacity than the leverage ratio alone. Rising interest expense relative to EBITDA signals that debt service is consuming a growing share of cash flow. Asset vs Debt
Equity vs Debt
Price Book 2.52 | Price Sales 0.82 | Shares Float 708.43 million | Dividend Share 0.7 | Wall Street Target Price 15.11 |
This ratio quantifies AES reliance on debt financing relative to the equity base supporting it. Industry context matters: capital-intensive sectors like autos and utilities operate at structurally higher D/E than technology or services.
AES Quarterly Net Debt | $29.4 billion |
AES |
Stock Analysis Notes
About 90.0% of AES shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of AES was presently reported as 6.2. AES has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.81. AES had its last dividend issued on the 1st of May 2026. AES completed a 2-for-1 stock split on 2nd of June 2000. The AES's financial profile includes $0.04 in Intangibles To Total Assets, $51.8 billion in Total Assets, and a Return On Assets of 1.0%.Price To Sales Ratio | 0.79 |
Investor Insights and Alerts
| AES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AES's Piotroski F-Score indicates relatively stable underlying signals within the model framework, despite current profitability pressure | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is AES Still Attractive After A 38.9 percent One Year Share Price Gain |
Largest EPS Surprises
EPS surprise history helps explain abrupt moves in AES's price behavior. A negative gap to consensus tends to pressure valuation, while a positive gap can support re-rating. For this stock, read EPS surprises with profitability quality and forward revisions.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2003-07-30 | 2003-06-30 | 0.1 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 10 | ||
1996-10-17 | 1996-09-30 | 0.1 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 10 | ||
1996-07-16 | 1996-06-30 | 0.1 | 0.09 | -0.01 | 10 |
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores
For The AES, ESG factors matter because governance, regulation, and reputation risks can directly affect financial outcomes. The business currently sits in the Utilities sector and the Utilities—Diversified industry. ESG data works best as a risk and quality layer rather than a standalone score.
Thematic Classifications
Thematic classifications around The AES help investors move from one security idea to a broader portfolio idea with a clearer economic narrative. Used well, thematic analysis can turn a discretionary idea into a more systematic portfolio-building process with clearer risk boundaries.
 | UtilitiesBasic necessities for public or businesses | |
 | Alternative EnergyCompanies, funds and ETFs that are involved in development and popularizing of alternative energy |
Top Institutional Investors Holding AES Stock
The AES's institutional and insider mix shapes how the stock trades around earnings. Annual revenue is about 12.23 billion. Shares outstanding are near 713.16 million. Whether the institutional base is growing or shrinking quarter over quarter matters more than the current snapshot.
| Shares | The Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2025-12-31 | 11 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2025-12-31 | 10.8 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-12-31 | 8.8 M | Cbre Investment Management Listed Real Assets Llc | 2025-12-31 | 7.9 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2025-12-31 | 7.7 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2025-12-31 | 7.6 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2025-12-31 | 7.1 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-12-31 | 7 M | Sound Shore Management Inc | 2025-12-31 | 6.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-12-31 | 88.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-12-31 | 47.6 M |
Market Capitalization
At roughly $10.22 billion, The AES belongs to the large-cap segment of independent power and renewable electricity producers. To frame that market cap reading, note enterprise value near $38.59 billion, about 713.16 million shares outstanding, and a workforce of about 8,336 people.Profitability
Profitability metrics test whether The AES is building real earning power or just reporting one-time accounting gains. At large-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. Return on assets, return on equity, and cash flow deserve as much focus as earnings per share. AES has Net Profit Margin of 11.0%. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 19.0%.| Last Reported | End Of Year Estimate | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.02 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.05 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Assets | 2.00% | 1.00% | |
| Return On Equity | 14.00% | 13.00% |
Management Efficiency
AES has Return on Asset of 2.71% indicating modest asset efficiency. This is subpar relative to sector peers. AES also reports a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 5.26%, indicating the rate of return being generated on shareholder capital.| Last Reported | End Of Year Estimate | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 16.75 | 17.59 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 13.41 | 14.08 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 1.48x | 1.41x | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 13.09x | 9.14x | |
| Price Fair Value | 1.48x | 1.41x | |
| Enterprise Value | $32.92 billion | $19.23 billion |
The management picture for The AES becomes most actionable when executive decisions are compared with financial outcomes rather than with presentation language alone. The strongest reading comes from linking leadership decisions to return metrics, balance-sheet quality, and the durability of the business model.
Operating Margin | Long Term Debt Total | Three Month Return -10.77 | Short Long Term Debt Total | Ten Year Return 28.41 |
Technical Drivers
Market data as of the 10th of May shows AES priced at 14.33 per share. Measured indicators report Mean Deviation of 0.7758, coefficient of variation of -2,629, and Risk Adjusted Performance of -0.03. The model examines historical data series to identify measurable trend characteristics. Technical levels are measured against peer distributions.Price Movement Analysis - Bollinger Bands
This analysis covers twenty-five data points across the selected time horizon. The Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average adjusts its smoothing factor based on AES price efficiency — moving quickly when the trend is strong and slowing when price action is noisy. This adaptive behavior reduces whipsaws during ranging periods while remaining responsive during directional moves.
Insider Trading Activities
Insider activity around The AES matters because officers and directors often act on business changes before the market catches up. U.S. insider activity is disclosed through Form 4 filings, enabling analysis of transaction timing, clustering, and scale.
Outstanding Bonds
Reviewing The AES bond obligations provides context for understanding how much of the business is financed with fixed-income capital rather than purely with equity. At large-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. Bond investors and equity investors often care about the same cash flows, but they rank the risks differently.
| US00130HCC79 Corp BondUS00130HCC79 | View | |
| AES 245 15 JAN 31 Corp BondUS00130HCG83 | View | |
| MPLX LP 4125 Corp BondUS55336VAK61 | View | |
| AIA 32 16 SEP 40 Corp BondUS00131MAK99 | View | |
| US00131MAQ69 Corp BondUS00131MAQ69 | View | |
| US00139PAA66 Corp BondUS00139PAA66 | View | |
| Morgan Stanley Jul Corp BondUS61744YAK47 | View | |
| AIA 32 16 SEP 40 Corp BondUS00131LAK17 | View |
Predictive Daily Indicators
Short-horizon indicators in The AES turn fast-changing price action into clearer risk and execution cues. The best setups combine these signals with strict risk limits, since short-term data can reverse fast when liquidity thins.
Corporate Filings
F3 | 8th of May 2026 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | |
10Q | 5th of May 2026 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | |
| 4th of May 2026 Other Reports | ||
F4 | 1st of May 2026 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | |
8K | 30th of April 2026 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | |
13A | 29th of April 2026 The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 | |
F4 | 24th of April 2026 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | |
8K | 16th of April 2026 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about |
Forecast Models
Forecasting applied to The AES learns from price structure, volatility patterns, and trend strength rather than commentary alone. Forecast models complement fundamental research by showing where price behavior supports or contradicts the thesis.Financial Strength and Earnings Quality Indicators
The AES financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much AES has to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for AES's borrowing costs.| Piotroski F Score | 8 | Strong | View |
| Beneish M Score | -2.25 | Unlikely Manipulator | View |
Debt to Cash Allocation
Tracking debt and cash allocation over time can show when AES is prioritizing expansion, refinancing, or capital return.
Total debt stands at approximately $30.33 billion with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 4.07. AES has a current ratio of 1.26, demonstrating that it shows limited short-term liquidity to cover its financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as one mechanism for AES to finance growth, though outcomes depend on borrowing costs and business execution. Common Stock Shares Outstanding Over Time
Assets Financed by Debt
Debt finances 63.0% of AES's total assets — a significant share that elevates balance sheet risk.AES Debt Ratio | 63.0 |
Corporate Bonds Issued
AES Short Long Term Debt Total
Short Long Term Debt Total | $19.47 billion |
Stock Analysis Methodology
As a large-cap equity, AES is scored on valuation, solvency, and operating efficiency. AES operates in Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers within Utilities - Diversified in Utilities. A beta of 0.2169 indicates low sensitivity to broad market moves. AES trades at P/E of 430.16, P/B of 2.52.
The AES figures are aggregated from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and normalized across reporting formats. Professional analyst research is incorporated when coverage is available.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Ellen Johnson, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Current AES Analyst Rating Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 15.11 | Buy | 15 | Odds |
The AES analyst recommendation data spans current and historical periods across providers. An average of analyst recommendations is provided for AES as a summary metric. Wall Street analysts covering AES typically update price targets and ratings quarterly. A rising consensus or cluster of upgrades for AES often signals improving fundamental momentum.
AES Stock Analysis Indicators
Diagnostics snapshot includes 22 indicators such as Begin Period Cash Flow, Total Stockholder Equity, Property Plant And Equipment Net.
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.96 billion | |
| Total Stockholder Equity | 6.89 billion | |
| Property Plant And Equipment Net | 38.19 billion | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.25 billion | |
| Cash | 2.07 billion | |
| 50 Day M A | 14.3478 | |
| Net Interest Income | -1.12 billion | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 8.49 billion | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 6.2461 | |
| Investments | -92 million | |
| Interest Expense | 1.42 billion | |
| Long Term Debt | 26.79 billion | |
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 712 million | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -3.83 billion | |
| Tax Provision | -181 million | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 9.511 | |
| Accounts Payable | 1.98 billion | |
| Net Debt | 28.25 billion | |
| Other Operating Expenses | 10.26 billion | |
| Non Current Assets Total | 45.27 billion | |
| Liabilities And Stockholders Equity | 51.77 billion | |
| Non Currrent Assets Other | 2.29 billion |