The Aes Stock Performance
| AES Stock | USD 14.65 0.21 1.41% |
AES has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.08, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. AES returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, AES is expected to follow. AES right now shows a risk of 1.74%. Please confirm AES standard deviation, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if AES will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The AES are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak technical and fundamental indicators, AES may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.37) | Five Day Return (2.27) | Year To Date Return (1.15) | Ten Year Return 57.7 | All Time Return 346.65 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0468 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.7 | Dividend Date 2026-02-13 |
1 | Mizuho Issues Positive Forecast for AES Stock Price | 11/07/2025 |
| AES dividend paid on 14th of November 2025 | 11/14/2025 |
2 | Can AES Translate Data Center Demand Into Long-Term Growth Leadership | 11/26/2025 |
3 | Argus Research Upgrades The AES Corporation To Buy, Price Target at 18 | 12/09/2025 |
4 | Heres Why You Should Add Ameren to Your Portfolio Right Now | 12/23/2025 |
5 | Heres Why AES is a Strong Momentum Stock | 12/26/2025 |
6 | 5 Low Price-to-Book Stocks to Buy as 2025 Comes to a Close | 12/31/2025 |
7 | LAWSUIT FILED ALLEGING U.S. ENERGY GIANT AES AND PARTNERS COORDINATED A SCHEME TO MONOPOLIZE THE LNG-TO-POWER MARKET IN PANAMA AND THE REGION | 01/07/2026 |
8 | Heres Why AES is a Strong Value Stock | 01/08/2026 |
9 | The Dayton Power and Light Company Announces Extension of its Registered Exchange Offer | 01/14/2026 |
10 | Brokerages Set The AES Corporation PT at 23.83 | 01/20/2026 |
11 | Are Investors Undervaluing The AES Corporation By 26 | 01/22/2026 |
12 | A Look At AES Valuation After Q3 2025 Earnings Beat And Reaffirmed 2025 Guidance | 01/30/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.8 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -6.2 B |
AES Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,328 in The AES on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 137.00 from holding The AES or generate 10.32% return on investment over 90 days. The AES is generating 0.1732% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.7375% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than AES, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
AES Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of AES Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 14.65 | 90 days | 14.65 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AES to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This The AES probability density function shows the probability of AES Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.08 . This suggests The AES market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, AES is expected to follow. Additionally The AES has an alpha of 0.0207, implying that it can generate a 0.0207 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AES Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AES
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AES's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AES Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The AES, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
AES Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AES can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AES has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: A Look At AES Valuation After Q3 2025 Earnings Beat And Reaffirmed 2025 Guidance |
AES Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AES Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AES's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AES's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 713 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
AES Fundamentals Growth
AES Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AES, and AES fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AES Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0511 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0227 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 39.8 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 712.12 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 430.16 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.77 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.86 X | ||||
| Revenue | 12.28 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.09 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 3.67 B | ||||
| Net Income | 1.69 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.52 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.33 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 29.02 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 4.07 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.29 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 5.43 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.75 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.48 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 10.43 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 47.41 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 293 M | ||||
| Working Capital | (1.74 B) | ||||
| Current Asset | 6.87 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 6.95 B | ||||
About AES Performance
Assessing AES's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into AES's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the AES is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 24.98 | 31.64 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.04 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.06 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.53 | 0.48 |
Things to note about AES performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about AES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AES help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AES has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: A Look At AES Valuation After Q3 2025 Earnings Beat And Reaffirmed 2025 Guidance |
- Analyzing AES's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AES's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining AES's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating AES's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AES's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AES's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AES's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for AES Stock Analysis
When running AES's price analysis, check to measure AES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AES is operating at the current time. Most of AES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.