Ambac Financial Group Stock Analysis

AMBC Stock  USD 12.31  0.07  0.57%   
Ambac Financial Group is undervalued with Real Value of 14.51 and Target Price of 17.0. The main objective of Ambac Financial stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Ambac Financial Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Ambac Financial's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Ambac Financial stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Ambac Financial's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ambac Financial Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Ambac Stock Analysis Notes

About 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.4. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ambac Financial Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.9. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.47. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Ambac Financial Group, Inc., a financial services holding company, provides financial guarantees in the United States, the United Kingdom, Italy, Austria, Australia, France, and Internationally. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Ambac Financial operates under InsuranceSpecialty classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 132 people. For more info on Ambac Financial Group please contact Claude LeBlanc at 212 658 7470 or go to https://www.ambac.com.

Ambac Financial Group Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Ambac Financial's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Ambac Financial Group or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Ambac Financial Group currently holds 3.5 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.17, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ambac Financial Group has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ambac Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 87.0% of Ambac Financial shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Ambac Financial Group Third Quarter 2024 Earnings US0.63 loss per share

Ambac Financial Group Upcoming and Recent Events

Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Ambac Financial previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
27th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
27th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Ambac Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ambac Financial's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-08-05
2024-06-300.150.180.0320 
2019-05-09
2019-03-31-0.16-0.2-0.0425 
1996-04-25
1996-03-310.380.420.0410 
View All Earnings Estimates

Ambac Financial Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Ambac Financial's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Ambac Financial's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Ambac Financial's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Ambac Financial's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Ambac Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
631.1 K
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
621.4 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-06-30
611.4 K
Bracebridge Capital, Llc2024-06-30
579.2 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
553.4 K
Gendell Jeffrey L2024-06-30
479.3 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
473.1 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
471.6 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-06-30
438.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
7.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
4.1 M
Note, although Ambac Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ambac Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 584.02 M.

Ambac Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.06) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.04) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.04.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 

Management Efficiency

As of November 22, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to 0.0005. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is expected to decline to 0.02. At present, Ambac Financial's Other Current Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Intangible Assets is expected to grow to about 544.9 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 7.6 B. Ambac Financial's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Ambac Financial manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 31.38  17.96 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 22.88  17.41 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 39.24  41.21 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.55  0.58 
Enterprise Value Multiple 39.24  41.21 
Price Fair Value 0.55  0.58 
Enterprise Value4.2 BB
Ambac Financial's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Operating Margin
(0.04)
Profit Margin
(0.06)
Beta
1.226
Return On Assets
0.0041
Return On Equity
(0.01)

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of November, Ambac Financial shows the mean deviation of 1.35, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0556. Ambac Financial Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Ambac Financial Group Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Ambac Financial middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Ambac Financial Group. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Ambac Financial Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Ambac Financial insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Ambac Financial's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Ambac Financial insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Ambac Financial Outstanding Bonds

Ambac Financial issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Ambac Financial Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Ambac bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Ambac Financial Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Ambac Financial Predictive Daily Indicators

Ambac Financial intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Ambac Financial stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Ambac Financial Corporate Filings

13A
12th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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13A
4th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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8K
16th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
11th of October 2024
Other Reports
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F4
1st of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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F4
27th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
26th of September 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
18th of September 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Ambac Financial Forecast Models

Ambac Financial's time-series forecasting models are one of many Ambac Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ambac Financial's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Ambac Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Ambac Financial prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Ambac shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Ambac Financial. By using and applying Ambac Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Ambac entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Operating Profit Margin 0.42  0.40 
Net Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 
Gross Profit Margin 1.15  1.36 

Current Ambac Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Ambac analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Ambac analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
17.0Strong Buy2Odds
Ambac Financial Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Ambac analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ambac stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ambac Financial Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ambac conference calls.
Ambac Analyst Advice Details

Ambac Stock Analysis Indicators

Ambac Financial Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Ambac Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Ambac Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Ambac Financial stock analysis, traders can identify Ambac Financial position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow61 M
Long Term Debt3.5 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.5 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.4 B
Tax ProvisionM
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.81
Property Plant And Equipment Net19 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.2 B
Cash274 M
Accounts Payable90 M
Net Debt3.2 B
50 Day M A11.4956
Total Current Liabilities1.8 B
Other Operating Expenses156 M
Non Current Assets Total6.3 B
Forward Price Earnings12.4224
Non Currrent Assets Other268 M
Stock Based Compensation17 M

Complementary Tools for Ambac Stock analysis

When running Ambac Financial's price analysis, check to measure Ambac Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ambac Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ambac Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ambac Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ambac Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ambac Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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