The Cheesecake Factory Stock Analysis

CAKE Stock  USD 48.76  0.77  1.60%   
The Cheesecake Factory is undervalued with Real Value of 53.19 and Target Price of 50.29. The main objective of Cheesecake Factory stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what The Cheesecake Factory is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Cheesecake Factory's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Cheesecake Factory stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Cheesecake Factory's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in The Cheesecake Factory. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Cheesecake Stock Analysis Notes

About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.64. The Cheesecake Factory last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 9th of December 2004. It operates two bakeries that produces cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California. Cheesecake Fact operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 45800 people. For more info on The Cheesecake Factory please contact David Overton at 818 871 3000 or go to https://www.thecheesecakefactory.com.

Cheesecake Factory Quarterly Total Revenue

865.47 Million

The Cheesecake Factory Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Cheesecake Factory's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding The Cheesecake Factory or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
The Cheesecake Factory currently holds 1.86 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. The Cheesecake Factory has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cheesecake Factory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 95.0% of Cheesecake Factory shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 26th of November 2024 Cheesecake Factory paid $ 0.27 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from patch.com: Michelin Guide Macys Closing Big Cat Rescue FL Business News

The Cheesecake Factory Upcoming and Recent Events

28th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
8th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
28th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Cheesecake Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Cheesecake Factory's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2001-04-19
2001-01-310.10.110.0110 
2000-10-26
2000-07-310.10.110.0110 
2000-07-25
2000-04-300.10.110.0110 
View All Earnings Estimates

Cheesecake Factory Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Cheesecake Factory's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Cheesecake Factory's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Cheesecake Factory's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Cheesecake Factory's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Cheesecake Factory Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Cheesecake Factory stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Restaurants Idea
Restaurants
Restaurants, Coffee Shops and other eateries
Hotels Idea
Hotels
Hotels and motels

Cheesecake Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-09-30
M
Frontier Capital Management Co Inc2024-09-30
909.2 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
788 K
William Blair Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
662.4 K
Palisade Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
617.7 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
597.9 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-09-30
578.2 K
Woodline Partners Lp2024-09-30
571.9 K
Thrivent Financial For Lutherans2024-09-30
524.4 K
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
7.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
5.4 M
Note, although Cheesecake Factory's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cheesecake Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.49 B.

Cheesecake Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.04 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.04 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.04.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.09 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.22  0.23 

Management Efficiency

The Cheesecake Factory has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0388 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0388 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.3574 %, meaning that it created $0.3574 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Cheesecake Factory's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Cheesecake Factory manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At present, Cheesecake Factory's Return On Assets are projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Return On Equity is expected to grow to 0.23, whereas Return On Capital Employed is forecasted to decline to 0.07. At present, Cheesecake Factory's Non Current Assets Total are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 111.7 M, whereas Total Current Assets are forecasted to decline to about 69.6 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 13.01  13.66 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 3.06  4.79 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 14.14  14.72 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.99  3.12 
Enterprise Value Multiple 14.14  14.72 
Price Fair Value 2.99  3.12 
Enterprise Value200.1 M190.1 M
Understanding the management dynamics of The Cheesecake Factory allows us to gauge its ability to sustain growth and profitability. This comprehensive analysis aids in determining the stock's value.
Dividend Yield
0.0225
Operating Margin
0.0361
Profit Margin
0.0363
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0225
Beta
1.481

Technical Drivers

As of the 18th of January 2025, Cheesecake Factory shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1401, mean deviation of 1.76, and Semi Deviation of 1.57. The Cheesecake Factory technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm The Cheesecake Factory downside deviation, treynor ratio, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the variance and potential upside to decide if The Cheesecake Factory is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 48.76 per share. Given that Cheesecake Factory has jensen alpha of 0.3515, we suggest you to validate The Cheesecake Factory's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

The Cheesecake Factory Price Movement Analysis

Study
Time Period
Deviations up
Deviations down
MA Type
Execute Study
java.lang.NullPointerException: Cannot invoke "java.lang.Number.intValue()" because the return value of "sun.invoke.util.ValueConversions.primitiveConversion(sun.invoke.util.Wrapper, Object, boolean)" is null. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Cheesecake Factory middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for The Cheesecake Factory. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

The Cheesecake Factory Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Cheesecake Factory insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Cheesecake Factory's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Cheesecake Factory insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Cheesecake Factory Outstanding Bonds

Cheesecake Factory issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. The Cheesecake Factory uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Cheesecake bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when The Cheesecake Factory has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Cheesecake Factory Predictive Daily Indicators

Cheesecake Factory intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Cheesecake Factory stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Cheesecake Factory Corporate Filings

F4
12th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
8th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
4th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
29th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10Q
5th of August 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
31st of July 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
4th of June 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
31st of May 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Cheesecake Factory Forecast Models

Cheesecake Factory's time-series forecasting models are one of many Cheesecake Factory's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Cheesecake Factory's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Cheesecake Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Cheesecake Factory prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Cheesecake shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Cheesecake Factory. By using and applying Cheesecake Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Cheesecake entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.06  0.08 
Operating Profit Margin 0.06  0.08 
Net Profit Margin 0.05  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.41  0.31 

Current Cheesecake Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Cheesecake analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Cheesecake analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
50.29Buy19Odds
The Cheesecake Factory current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Cheesecake analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Cheesecake stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of The Cheesecake Factory, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Cheesecake conference calls.
Cheesecake Analyst Advice Details

Cheesecake Stock Analysis Indicators

The Cheesecake Factory stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Cheesecake Factory stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Cheesecake Factory shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Cheesecake Factory stock analysis, traders can identify Cheesecake Factory position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow114.8 M
Long Term Debt470 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49 M
Total Stockholder Equity318.1 M
Tax Provision-1.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.649
Property Plant And Equipment Net2.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments56.3 M
Cash56.3 M
Accounts Payable63.2 M
Net Debt1.8 B
50 Day M A48.644
Total Current Liabilities660.7 M
Other Operating Expenses3.3 B
Non Current Assets Total2.5 B
Forward Price Earnings13.1752
Non Currrent Assets Other102.7 M
Stock Based Compensation25.8 M

Complementary Tools for Cheesecake Stock analysis

When running Cheesecake Factory's price analysis, check to measure Cheesecake Factory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cheesecake Factory is operating at the current time. Most of Cheesecake Factory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cheesecake Factory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cheesecake Factory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cheesecake Factory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance