Cheesecake Factory Valuation

CAKE Stock  USD 48.77  2.21  4.75%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. The Cheesecake Factory shows a prevailing Real Value of $36.64 per share. The current price of the firm is $48.77. Our model approximates the value of The Cheesecake Factory from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.04 %, operating margin of 0.04 %, and Return On Equity of 0.36 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Cheesecake Factory's valuation include:
Price Book
5.9953
Enterprise Value
4.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
17.6373
Price Sales
0.6717
Forward PE
12.7714
Overvalued
Today
48.77
Please note that Cheesecake Factory's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of The Cheesecake Factory is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Cheesecake Factory's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Cheesecake stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of The Cheesecake Factory. Since Cheesecake Factory is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Cheesecake Stock. However, Cheesecake Factory's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  48.77 Real  36.64 Target  34.27 Hype  48.59 Naive  44.55
The real value of Cheesecake Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of The Cheesecake Factory Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Cheesecake Factory's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Cheesecake Factory's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
36.64
Real Value
53.65
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of The Cheesecake Factory helps investors to forecast how Cheesecake stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Cheesecake Factory more accurately as focusing exclusively on Cheesecake Factory's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.680.770.84
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.2348.5950.95
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.690.720.75
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
31.1934.2738.04
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Cheesecake Factory's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Cheesecake Factory's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Cheesecake Factory's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Cheesecake Factory we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Cheesecake Factory Cash

73.72 Million

Cheesecake Valuation Trend

Comparing Cheesecake Factory's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of The Cheesecake Factory uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Cheesecake Revenue by Product

Cheesecake Factory Total Value Analysis

The Cheesecake Factory is currently forecasted to have valuation of 4.21 B with market capitalization of 2.38 B, debt of 1.86 B, and cash on hands of 194.89 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Cheesecake Factory fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
4.21 B
2.38 B
1.86 B
194.89 M

Cheesecake Factory Investor Information

About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.55. The Cheesecake Factory last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 9th of December 2004. Based on the key measurements obtained from Cheesecake Factory's financial statements, The Cheesecake Factory may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average chance of going through some form of financial crunch next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.06150.0316
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities197.1 M218.4 M
Moderately Down
Pretty Stable
Operating Income102.8 M108.6 M
Notably Down
Very volatile

Cheesecake Factory Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Cheesecake Factory has an asset utilization ratio of 121.09 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $1.21 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that The Cheesecake Factory is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Cheesecake Factory Ownership Allocation

Cheesecake Factory holds a total of 51.04 Million outstanding shares. The majority of The Cheesecake Factory outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in The Cheesecake Factory to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Cheesecake Factory. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of The Cheesecake Factory as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Cheesecake Factory Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.44 B. Net Income was 101.35 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.28 B.

Cheesecake Factory Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Cheesecake Factory's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Cheesecake Factory and how it compares across the competition.

About Cheesecake Factory Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Cheesecake Factory's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Cheesecake Factory. We calculate exposure to Cheesecake Factory's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Cheesecake Factory's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit391.3 M276.2 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.03  0.06 
Operating Profit Margin 0.03  0.06 
Net Profit Margin 0.03  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.11  0.41 

Cheesecake Factory Quarterly Retained Earnings

1.29 Billion

Cheesecake Factory's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Cheesecake Factory's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Cheesecake Factory can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Cheesecake Factory represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Cheesecake, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Cheesecake Factory Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At present, Cheesecake Factory's Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. . At present, Cheesecake Factory's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid53.2 M83 K
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.04 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.52  0.48 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.06  1.60 
There are various types of dividends Cheesecake Factory can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Cheesecake shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from The Cheesecake Factory directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Cheesecake pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Cheesecake Factory by the value of the dividends paid out.

Cheesecake Factory Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Cheesecake Factory does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.649
Forward Price Earnings12.7714

Cheesecake Factory Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of The Cheesecake Factory and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Cheesecake we look at many different elements of the entity such as Cheesecake's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Cheesecake Factory, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Cheesecake Factory's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Cheesecake Factory's worth.

Complementary Tools for Cheesecake Stock analysis

When running Cheesecake Factory's price analysis, check to measure Cheesecake Factory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cheesecake Factory is operating at the current time. Most of Cheesecake Factory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cheesecake Factory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cheesecake Factory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cheesecake Factory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world