Carvana Co Stock Technical Analysis
| CVNA Stock | USD 344.14 19.93 5.47% |
As of the 12th of February 2026, Carvana shows the Mean Deviation of 2.91, risk adjusted performance of 0.0623, and Downside Deviation of 4.4. Carvana technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Carvana Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Carvana, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CarvanaCarvana's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Carvana Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 481.05 | Buy | 23 | Odds |
Most Carvana analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Carvana stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Carvana, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Carvana conference calls.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carvana. Projected growth potential of Carvana fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Carvana assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.609 | Earnings Share 4.41 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.545 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Carvana requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Carvana's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Carvana's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Carvana's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Carvana's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Carvana should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Carvana's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Carvana 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Carvana's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Carvana.
| 11/14/2025 |
| 02/12/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Carvana on November 14, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Carvana Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Carvana over 90 days. Carvana is related to or competes with Marriott International, Ferrari NV, Sea, Coupang LLC, Royal Caribbean, OReilly Automotive, and Airbnb. Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the Uni... More
Carvana Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Carvana's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Carvana Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0467 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 26.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.14 |
Carvana Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Carvana's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Carvana's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Carvana historical prices to predict the future Carvana's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0623 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1369 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0424 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.151 |
Carvana February 12, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0623 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.161 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.07 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1493.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.0 | |||
| Variance | 15.97 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0467 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1369 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0424 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.151 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 26.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 19.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.79) | |||
| Skewness | (0.34) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.28 |
Carvana Backtested Returns
Carvana appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Carvana secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0517, which signifies that the company had a 0.0517 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Carvana Co, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Carvana's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0623, downside deviation of 4.4, and Mean Deviation of 2.91 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Carvana holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.71, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Carvana will likely underperform. Please check Carvana's semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Carvana's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.06 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Carvana Co has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Carvana time series from 14th of November 2025 to 29th of December 2025 and 29th of December 2025 to 12th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Carvana price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Carvana price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.06 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.48 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 798.3 |
Carvana technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Carvana Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Carvana across different markets.
About Carvana Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Carvana Co on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carvana Co based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Carvana price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Carvana. By analyzing Carvana's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Carvana's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Carvana specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.005405 | 0.005135 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.09 | 1.43 |
Carvana February 12, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Carvana help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carvana from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Carvana charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0623 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.161 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.07 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1493.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.0 | |||
| Variance | 15.97 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0467 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1369 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0424 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.151 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 26.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 19.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.79) | |||
| Skewness | (0.34) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.28 |
Carvana February 12, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Carvana stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 713,668 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.47) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | ||
| Day Median Price | 349.94 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 348.00 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (15.76) |
Complementary Tools for Carvana Stock analysis
When running Carvana's price analysis, check to measure Carvana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carvana is operating at the current time. Most of Carvana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carvana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carvana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carvana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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