Qudian Inc Stock Analysis

QD Stock  USD 2.34  0.14  5.65%   
Qudian Inc is overvalued with Real Value of 2.3 and Target Price of 1.1. The main objective of Qudian stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Qudian Inc is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Qudian's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Qudian stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Qudian's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Qudian Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Qudian Stock Analysis Notes

About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.3. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Qudian Inc recorded a loss per share of 0.28. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Qudian Inc. operates as a consumer-oriented technology company in the Peoples Republic of China. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Xiamen, the Peoples Republic of China. Qudian Inc operates under Credit Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 940 people. To find out more about Qudian Inc contact Weichen Zhao at 86 59 2591 1580 or learn more at https://www.qudian.com.

Qudian Quarterly Total Revenue

53.33 Million

Qudian Inc Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Qudian's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Qudian Inc or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Qudian Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Qudian Trading 0.8 percent Higher Whats Next

Qudian Inc Upcoming and Recent Events

20th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Qudian Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Qudian's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-03-18
2019-12-310.720.59-0.1318 
2023-09-08
2023-06-300.14-0.03-0.17121 
2023-02-21
2022-12-310.14-0.03-0.17121 
View All Earnings Estimates

Qudian Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Qudian's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Qudian's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Qudian's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Qudian's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Qudian Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Qudian stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Banking Idea
Banking
USA Equities from Banking industry as classified by Fama & French

Qudian Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Polunin Capital Partners Ltd2024-09-30
241.2 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
210.8 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-06-30
178.6 K
O'shaughnessy Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
170.1 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
164.3 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
148.4 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
138.4 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
106.9 K
Sei Investments Co2024-06-30
95.8 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
3.5 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
1.9 M
Note, although Qudian's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Qudian Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a market capitalization of 460.25 M.

Qudian Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin (PM) of (1.34) %, which may indicate that it does not properly execute on its own pricing strategies. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows Net Operating Margin (NOM) of (1.07) %, which signifies that for every 100 dollars of sales, it has a net operating loss of $1.07.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Capital Employed(0.03)(0.03)

Management Efficiency

Qudian Inc has Return on Asset (ROA) of (0.0154) % which means that for every 100 dollars spent on asset, it generated a loss of $0.0154. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows a return on total equity (ROE) of (0.0229) %, which implies that it produced no returns to current stockholders. Qudian's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Qudian manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of November 22, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to 0. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.03. At present, Qudian's Other Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Assets is expected to grow to about 11.6 B, whereas Other Current Assets are forecasted to decline to about 371.4 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 52.61  55.24 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 52.60  55.23 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 26.68  28.02 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.28  0.29 
Enterprise Value Multiple 26.68  28.02 
Price Fair Value 0.28  0.29 
Enterprise Value-3.9 B-3.7 B
Management at Qudian Inc focuses on leveraging technology and optimizing operations. We evaluate the impact of these focuses on the company's financial health and stock performance.
Operating Margin
(1.07)
Profit Margin
(1.34)
Beta
0.61
Return On Assets
(0.02)
Return On Equity
(0.02)

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of November, Qudian holds the Semi Deviation of 2.63, coefficient of variation of 650.5, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1249. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Qudian, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Qudian Inc variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance to decide if Qudian Inc is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 2.34 per share. Please also confirm Qudian Inc total risk alpha, which is currently at 0.0667 to check out the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Qudian Inc Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Qudian middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Qudian Inc. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Qudian Predictive Daily Indicators

Qudian intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Qudian stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Qudian Corporate Filings

6K
6th of September 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
13th of June 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
13th of May 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
29th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
6K
18th of March 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify

Qudian Forecast Models

Qudian's time-series forecasting models are one of many Qudian's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Qudian's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Qudian Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Qudian prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Qudian shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Qudian. By using and applying Qudian Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Qudian entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.80  0.84 
Operating Profit Margin(2.62)(2.49)
Net Profit Margin 0.31  0.33 
Gross Profit Margin(0.27)(0.25)

Current Qudian Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Qudian analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Qudian analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
1.1Strong Sell0Odds
Qudian Inc current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Qudian analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Qudian stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Qudian Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Qudian conference calls.
Qudian Analyst Advice Details

Qudian Stock Analysis Indicators

Qudian Inc stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Qudian stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Qudian shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Qudian stock analysis, traders can identify Qudian position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow3.6 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding222.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity11.7 B
Tax Provision62.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.515
Property Plant And Equipment Net1.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments9.4 B
Cash7.2 B
Accounts Payable109.3 M
Net Debt-7.1 B
50 Day M A2.1888
Total Current Liabilities754.5 M
Other Operating Expenses457.3 M
Non Current Assets Total2.3 B
Forward Price Earnings3.8052
Non Currrent Assets Other498.8 M
Stock Based Compensation4.9 M

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When running Qudian's price analysis, check to measure Qudian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qudian is operating at the current time. Most of Qudian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qudian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qudian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qudian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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