Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), a leading player in the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically in the Farm Products industry, has been a topic of interest for many investors. With an enterprise value of $37.2B and a market capitalization of $29.2B, this NYSE-listed company has shown a robust operating margin of 4.61%. Despite a quarterly revenue growth decline of 12%, the company managed to post a net income from continuing operations of $4.4B. However, it's worth noting a change to net income, resulting in a loss of $184M. With a Wall Street target price of $65.92, significantly higher than the current valuation market value of $54.91, is Archer Daniels Midland stock a compelling hold for your portfolio? Currently, Archer Daniels Midland's Price to Operating Cash Flows Ratio remains stable compared to the previous year. As of March 12, 2024, the Free Cash Flow Per Share is projected to increase to 4.63, while the Price to Sales Ratio is expected to decrease to 0.58. Amid concerns from some baby boomers about the food products sector, it's worthwhile to review Archer Daniels Midland. This article will delve into the stock's recent investor sentiment and highlight key factors influencing the company's products and services. Additionally, it will provide insights into the potential investment outlook for Archer Daniels in April.
Institutional investors, such as insurance companies, hold over 79.0% of Archer Daniels Midland's shares. This institutional ownership refers to the equity in Archer-Daniels-Midland owned by entities like mutual funds, pension funds, investment firms, and foundations that manage funds on behalf of others. For the latest analysis of Archer, including its current ownership structure, refer to our recent ownership diagnostics.
Main Ideas
Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), a leading player in the Farm Products industry, has a robust market capitalization of $29.2B and a healthy net income of $4.4B, which signifies a strong product portfolio and efficient management. With a return on equity of 15.82%, the company has demonstrated its ability to generate profits from shareholders' equity, making its stock a compelling hold for your portfolio. Archer-Daniels-Midland retains a total of 533.38 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Archer Daniels Midland
outstanding shares are owned by
other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Archer-Daniels-Midland to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Archer Daniels. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Archer Daniels Midland as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Note that regardless of who owns the company, if the true value of the entity is less than the market is willing to pay for it, you may not be able to generate positive returns over time.
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) |
Interest Expense | 265M | 396M | 455.4M | 354.9M | Depreciation And Amortization | 996M | 1.0B | 1.2B | 689.3M |
Ownership Breakdown
Retail Investors20.29% | | Institutions78.96% |
| Retail Investors | 20.29 |
| Insiders | 0.75 |
| Institutions | 78.96 |
Every cloud has a silver lining, and Archer Daniels Midland (ADM.US) may be that silver lining in your portfolio. Despite a risk-adjusted performance of -0.05, the company has a robust current ratio of 1.51X, indicating a healthy short-term liquidity position. With a net income of $4.37 billion and operating income of $5.7 billion, the company's
financial health is solid. Furthermore, the company's EPS estimate for the current year stands at 7.03, and its price-to-book ratio is a reasonable 1.16X. While the probability of bankruptcy is 12.69%, the company's strong
financial performance and the fact that 78.96% of its shares are owned by institutions suggest that Archer Daniels Midland is a compelling hold for your portfolio. .
Archer showing symptom of lower volatility
Archer Daniels Midland's stock shows signs of potentially decreased volatility, as indicated by a drop in its kurtosis to 37.87. Kurtosis is a statistical measure that describes data distribution. A lower kurtosis suggests a more evenly distributed set of returns, implying less volatility. This could make Archer Daniels Midland a more appealing investment for risk-averse investors. However, investors should keep monitoring the stock's performance and other market indicators before deciding. Despite its low volatility, indicated by a skewness of -5.42 and kurtosis of 37.87, we recommend investors to further study Archer Daniels Midland's technical indicators to ensure reliable market information. Understanding
market volatility trends can help investors time the market. Proper use of volatility indicators can measure Archer Daniels' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends.
High volatility in bear markets can impact
Archer Daniels' stock price and stress investors, often leading to portfolio rebalancing. In conclusion, Archer Daniels Midland's stock presents a compelling investment opportunity. Despite the company's current market valuation of
$54.91, its real value is estimated to be
$64.38, indicating a potential upside. Furthermore, the analyst target price estimated value stands at a robust $96.62, with the highest estimated target price reaching $107.25. The overall
analyst consensus is a 'Buy', with 2 strong buys, 13 holds, and only 1 sell. However, investors should also consider the possible downside price of $47.83. Therefore, while Archer Daniels Midland's stock may seem to be getting out of hand, the data suggests that it could be a valuable addition to a well-diversified portfolio. .
Rifka Kats is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Rifka writes about retail product and service companies from the perspective of a regular consumer and sophisticated investor at the same time. She is passionate about corporate ethics and equality in the workforce.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Rifka Kats do not own shares of Archer Daniels Midland. Please refer to our
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