Cerence (Germany) Technical Analysis
| 0S6 Stock | EUR 8.68 0.51 5.55% |
As of the 4th of February, Cerence shows the Downside Deviation of 5.19, mean deviation of 3.9, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0236. Cerence technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Cerence variance, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the standard deviation and information ratio to decide if Cerence is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 8.68 per share.
Cerence Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Cerence, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CerenceCerence |
Cerence 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cerence's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cerence.
| 11/06/2025 |
| 02/04/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Cerence on November 6, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cerence or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cerence over 90 days. Cerence is related to or competes with HubSpot, MicroStrategy Incorporated, ServiceNow, Pegasystems, Shopify, SoundHound, and Square. Cerence is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on F exchange. More
Cerence Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cerence's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cerence upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.19 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0118 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 41.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.57 |
Cerence Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cerence's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cerence's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cerence historical prices to predict the future Cerence's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0236 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0453 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.25) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0144 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0699 |
Cerence February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0236 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0799 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.03 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.19 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4970.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.34 | |||
| Variance | 40.25 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0118 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0453 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.25) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0144 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0699 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 41.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 25.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.28) | |||
| Skewness | 2.12 | |||
| Kurtosis | 13.28 |
Cerence Backtested Returns
Cerence appears to be relatively risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Cerence secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.04, which signifies that the company had a 0.04 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Cerence, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Cerence's Mean Deviation of 3.9, downside deviation of 5.19, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0236 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Cerence holds a performance score of 3. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.68, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Cerence will likely underperform. Please check Cerence's jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Cerence's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.07 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Cerence has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cerence time series from 6th of November 2025 to 21st of December 2025 and 21st of December 2025 to 4th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cerence price movement. The serial correlation of -0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Cerence price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.07 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.12 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.25 |
Cerence technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Cerence Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Cerence volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Cerence Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Cerence on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cerence based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Cerence price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Cerence. By analyzing Cerence's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Cerence's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Cerence specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0773 | 0.0687 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.46 | 3.92 |
Cerence February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Cerence help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cerence from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Cerence charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0236 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0799 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.03 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.19 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4970.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.34 | |||
| Variance | 40.25 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0118 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0453 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.25) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0144 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0699 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 41.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.84) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 26.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 25.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.28) | |||
| Skewness | 2.12 | |||
| Kurtosis | 13.28 |
Cerence February 4, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cerence stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11.47 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (10.20) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | ||
| Day Median Price | 8.70 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 8.69 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.27) |
Complementary Tools for Cerence Stock analysis
When running Cerence's price analysis, check to measure Cerence's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cerence is operating at the current time. Most of Cerence's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cerence's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cerence's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cerence to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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