Alcoa Corp Stock Technical Analysis
| AA Stock | USD 60.64 0.63 1.05% |
As of the 30th of January, Alcoa Corp shows the mean deviation of 2.56, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.165. Alcoa Corp technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Alcoa Corp Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Alcoa, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AlcoaAlcoa Corp's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Alcoa Corp Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 58.0 | Strong Buy | 14 | Odds |
Most Alcoa analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alcoa stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alcoa Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alcoa conference calls.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alcoa Corp. If investors know Alcoa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Alcoa Corp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.121 | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share 4.42 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Alcoa Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alcoa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alcoa Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alcoa Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alcoa Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alcoa Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alcoa Corp's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alcoa Corp represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Alcoa Corp's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Alcoa Corp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alcoa Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alcoa Corp.
| 11/01/2025 |
| 01/30/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alcoa Corp on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alcoa Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alcoa Corp over 90 days. Alcoa Corp is related to or competes with Merck, Overlay Shares, Redhill Biopharma, Hercules Capital, Kirin Holdings, and Eagle Point. Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the Uni... More
Alcoa Corp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alcoa Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alcoa Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1979 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.55 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.4 |
Alcoa Corp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alcoa Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alcoa Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alcoa Corp historical prices to predict the future Alcoa Corp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.165 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.6054 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4694 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2291 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3741 |
Alcoa Corp January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.165 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3841 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 461.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.29 | |||
| Variance | 10.8 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1979 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.6054 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4694 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2291 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3741 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.55 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.4 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.02) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1738 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.12) |
Alcoa Corp Backtested Returns
Alcoa Corp appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Alcoa Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.26, which signifies that the company had a 0.26 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By analyzing Alcoa Corp's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.88% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Alcoa Corp's risk adjusted performance of 0.165, and Mean Deviation of 2.56 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Alcoa Corp holds a performance score of 20. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.88, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Alcoa Corp will likely underperform. Please check Alcoa Corp's mean deviation, standard deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Alcoa Corp's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.54 |
Modest predictability
Alcoa Corp has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alcoa Corp time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alcoa Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Alcoa Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.54 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.47 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 30.28 |
Alcoa Corp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Alcoa Corp Technical Analysis
Indicator |
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The True Range is a measure of Alcoa Corp volatility developed by Welles Wilder.
About Alcoa Corp Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Alcoa Corp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alcoa Corp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Alcoa Corp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Alcoa Corp. By analyzing Alcoa Corp's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Alcoa Corp's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Alcoa Corp specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0119 | 0.0112 | 0.007573 | 0.0104 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.57 | 0.66 | 1.09 | 1.14 |
Alcoa Corp January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Alcoa help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alcoa from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Alcoa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.165 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3841 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 461.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.29 | |||
| Variance | 10.8 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1979 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.6054 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4694 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2291 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3741 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.55 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.4 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.02) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1738 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.12) |
Alcoa Corp January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alcoa stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.01 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 60.33 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 60.43 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.63 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.63 |
Complementary Tools for Alcoa Stock analysis
When running Alcoa Corp's price analysis, check to measure Alcoa Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alcoa Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Alcoa Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alcoa Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alcoa Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alcoa Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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