American Financial Group Stock Technical Analysis
| AFG Stock | USD 128.69 2.41 1.84% |
As of the 18th of February 2026, American Financial shows the mean deviation of 0.8137, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05). American Financial technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm American Financial standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and potential upside to decide if American Financial is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 128.69 per share. Given that American Financial has information ratio of (0.11), we suggest you to validate American Financial Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
American Financial Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as American, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AmericanAmerican Financial's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.American Financial Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 138.2 | Buy | 6 | Odds |
Most American analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand American stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of American Financial, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to American conference calls.
Can Multi-line Insurance industry sustain growth momentum? Does American have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Financial. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating American Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.183 | Dividend Share 3.36 | Earnings Share 10.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Investors evaluate American Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating American Financial's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause American Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that American Financial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Financial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, American Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
American Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Financial.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in American Financial on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Financial Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Financial over 90 days. American Financial is related to or competes with CNA Financial, Kinsale Capital, Assurant, First Horizon, Old Republic, Globe Life, and Renaissancere Holdings. American Financial Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides specialty property and casualty insurance product... More
American Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Financial Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.02) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.67 |
American Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Financial historical prices to predict the future American Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.14) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.31 |
American Financial February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 2.32 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8137 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,572) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Variance | 1.2 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.14) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.31 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.02) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.67 | |||
| Skewness | (0.21) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.6256 |
American Financial Backtested Returns
American Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0344, which signifies that the company had a -0.0344 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. American Financial Group exposes twenty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm American Financial's risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Mean Deviation of 0.8137 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0345, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning American Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, American Financial is likely to outperform the market. At this point, American Financial has a negative expected return of -0.039%. Please make sure to confirm American Financial's standard deviation, potential upside, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if American Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.09 |
Very weak reverse predictability
American Financial Group has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Financial time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current American Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.09 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.45 |
American Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
American Financial Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of American Financial volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About American Financial Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of American Financial Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Financial Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on American Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding American Financial. By analyzing American Financial's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of American Financial's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to American Financial specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0679 | 0.0686 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.3 | 1.39 |
American Financial February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of American help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 2.32 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8137 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,572) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Variance | 1.2 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.14) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.31 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.02) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.67 | |||
| Skewness | (0.21) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.6256 |
American Financial February 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 128.69 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 128.69 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.20) |
Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis
When running American Financial's price analysis, check to measure American Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Financial is operating at the current time. Most of American Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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