Alaska Air Group Stock Technical Analysis
| ALK Stock | USD 55.69 1.81 3.15% |
As of the 13th of February 2026, Alaska Air shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.1321, and Mean Deviation of 2.26. Alaska Air Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Alaska Air Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Alaska, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AlaskaAlaska Air's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Alaska Air Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 70.8 | Strong Buy | 16 | Odds |
Most Alaska analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alaska stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alaska Air Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alaska conference calls.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alaska Air. If investors know Alaska will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Alaska Air assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Earnings Share 0.81 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.028 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Alaska Air Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alaska that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alaska Air's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alaska Air's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alaska Air's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alaska Air's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alaska Air's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alaska Air represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Alaska Air's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Alaska Air 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alaska Air's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alaska Air.
| 11/15/2025 |
| 02/13/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alaska Air on November 15, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alaska Air Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alaska Air over 90 days. Alaska Air is related to or competes with Grupo Aeroportuario, Copa Holdings, Brinks, Kanzhun, SkyWest, Powell Industries, and Everus Construction. Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services More
Alaska Air Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alaska Air's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alaska Air Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1252 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.30) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.75 |
Alaska Air Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alaska Air's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alaska Air's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alaska Air historical prices to predict the future Alaska Air's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1321 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2892 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1783 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1366 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2225 |
Alaska Air February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1321 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2325 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 650.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.82 | |||
| Variance | 7.96 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1252 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2892 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1783 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1366 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2225 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.30) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.69 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.08 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.49) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1479 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.22) |
Alaska Air Group Backtested Returns
Alaska Air appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Alaska Air Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.23, which signifies that the company had a 0.23 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By analyzing Alaska Air's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.63% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Alaska Air's risk adjusted performance of 0.1321, and Mean Deviation of 2.26 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Alaska Air holds a performance score of 18. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.91, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Alaska Air will likely underperform. Please check Alaska Air's value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Alaska Air's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.48 |
Average predictability
Alaska Air Group has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alaska Air time series from 15th of November 2025 to 30th of December 2025 and 30th of December 2025 to 13th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alaska Air Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Alaska Air price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.48 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.41 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 12.46 |
Alaska Air technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Alaska Air Group Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Alaska Air Group across different markets.
About Alaska Air Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Alaska Air Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alaska Air Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Alaska Air Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Alaska Air Group. By analyzing Alaska Air's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Alaska Air's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Alaska Air specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006309 | 0.0123 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.41 | 0.47 |
Alaska Air February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Alaska help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alaska from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Alaska charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1321 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2325 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 650.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.82 | |||
| Variance | 7.96 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1252 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2892 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1783 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1366 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2225 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.30) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.69 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.08 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.49) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1479 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.22) |
Alaska Air February 13, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alaska stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 213,279 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.36) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 57.00 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 56.56 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.21) |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alaska Air Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alaska Air. If investors know Alaska will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Alaska Air assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Earnings Share 0.81 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.028 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Alaska Air Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alaska that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alaska Air's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alaska Air's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alaska Air's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alaska Air's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alaska Air's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alaska Air represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Alaska Air's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.