Applied Digital Stock Technical Analysis
| APLD Stock | USD 34.95 7.10 25.49% |
As of the 6th of February, Applied Digital shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0491, mean deviation of 5.9, and Downside Deviation of 6.87. Applied Digital technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Applied Digital maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if Applied Digital is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 34.95 per share. Given that Applied Digital has jensen alpha of 0.1276, we suggest you to validate Applied Digital's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Applied Digital Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Applied, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to AppliedApplied Digital's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Applied Digital Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 45.27 | Strong Buy | 9 | Odds |
Most Applied analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Applied stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Applied Digital, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Applied conference calls.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Applied diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Applied Digital. If investors know Applied will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Applied Digital data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.39) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.501 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Applied Digital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Applied that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Applied Digital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Applied Digital's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Applied Digital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Applied Digital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Applied Digital's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Applied Digital represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Applied Digital's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Applied Digital 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Applied Digital's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Applied Digital.
| 11/08/2025 |
| 02/06/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Applied Digital on November 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Applied Digital or generate 0.0% return on investment in Applied Digital over 90 days. Applied Digital is related to or competes with Aurora Innovation, EPAM Systems, Jack Henry, Amdocs, Amkor Technology, Appfolio, and ServiceTitan. Applied Blockchain, Inc. designs, develops, and operates datacenters in North America More
Applied Digital Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Applied Digital's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Applied Digital upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 6.87 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0384 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 32.03 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.70) | |||
| Potential Upside | 14.64 |
Applied Digital Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Applied Digital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Applied Digital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Applied Digital historical prices to predict the future Applied Digital's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0491 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1276 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0442 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1195 |
Applied Digital February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0491 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1295 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.55 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 6.87 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2007.73 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.89 | |||
| Variance | 62.31 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0384 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1276 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0442 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1195 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 32.03 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.70) | |||
| Potential Upside | 14.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 47.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 42.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.87) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5366 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9735 |
Applied Digital Backtested Returns
Applied Digital appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Applied Digital secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0604, which signifies that the company had a 0.0604 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Applied Digital, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Applied Digital's Mean Deviation of 5.9, risk adjusted performance of 0.0491, and Downside Deviation of 6.87 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Applied Digital holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.21, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Applied Digital will likely underperform. Please check Applied Digital's downside variance, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Applied Digital's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.32 |
Below average predictability
Applied Digital has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Applied Digital time series from 8th of November 2025 to 23rd of December 2025 and 23rd of December 2025 to 6th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Applied Digital price movement. The serial correlation of 0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current Applied Digital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.32 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 25.52 |
Applied Digital technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Applied Digital Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Applied Digital volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Applied Digital Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Applied Digital on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Applied Digital based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Applied Digital price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Applied Digital. By analyzing Applied Digital's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Applied Digital's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Applied Digital specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001713 | 0.001522 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.33 | 6.97 |
Applied Digital February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Applied help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applied from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Applied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0491 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1295 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.55 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 6.87 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2007.73 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.89 | |||
| Variance | 62.31 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0384 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1276 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0442 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1195 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 32.03 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.70) | |||
| Potential Upside | 14.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 47.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 42.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.87) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5366 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9735 |
Applied Digital February 6, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Applied stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 7,426,153 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.21 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.25 | ||
| Day Median Price | 32.17 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 33.09 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 6.34 |
Complementary Tools for Applied Stock analysis
When running Applied Digital's price analysis, check to measure Applied Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Digital is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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