Bancfirst Stock Technical Analysis
| BANF Stock | USD 110.00 5.59 4.84% |
As of the 28th of February, BancFirst shows the Downside Deviation of 2.16, mean deviation of 1.31, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0136. BancFirst technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm BancFirst maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if BancFirst is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 110.0 per share. Given that BancFirst has jensen alpha of (0.1), we suggest you to validate BancFirst's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
BancFirst Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as BancFirst, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to BancFirstBancFirst | Build AI portfolio with BancFirst Stock |
BancFirst Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 123.67 | Hold | 3 | Odds |
Most BancFirst analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand BancFirst stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of BancFirst, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to BancFirst conference calls.
Can Regional Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does BancFirst have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BancFirst. Projected growth potential of BancFirst fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating BancFirst demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.041 | Dividend Share 1.9 | Earnings Share 7.11 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.112 |
Understanding BancFirst requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects BancFirst's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what BancFirst's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push BancFirst's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between BancFirst's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding BancFirst should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, BancFirst's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
BancFirst 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BancFirst's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BancFirst.
| 11/30/2025 |
| 02/28/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in BancFirst on November 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BancFirst or generate 0.0% return on investment in BancFirst over 90 days. BancFirst is related to or competes with Fulton Financial, United Community, BBVA Banco, Associated Banc, ServisFirst Bancshares, Texas Capital, and First Interstate. BancFirst Corporation operates as the bank holding company for BancFirst that provides a range of commercial banking ser... More
BancFirst Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BancFirst's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BancFirst upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.78 |
BancFirst Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BancFirst's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BancFirst's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BancFirst historical prices to predict the future BancFirst's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0136 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.19) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0066 |
BancFirst February 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0136 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0166 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 10038.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Variance | 3.57 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.19) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0066 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.65 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.48 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.29) | |||
| Skewness | (1.19) | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.1 |
BancFirst Backtested Returns
At this point, BancFirst is very steady. BancFirst secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that the company had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for BancFirst, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm BancFirst's Downside Deviation of 2.16, risk adjusted performance of 0.0136, and Mean Deviation of 1.31 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0116%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.33, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, BancFirst will likely underperform. BancFirst right now shows a risk of 1.94%. Please confirm BancFirst total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if BancFirst will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.64 |
Very good reverse predictability
BancFirst has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BancFirst time series from 30th of November 2025 to 14th of January 2026 and 14th of January 2026 to 28th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BancFirst price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current BancFirst price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.64 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 12.45 |
BancFirst technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
BancFirst Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for BancFirst across different markets.
About BancFirst Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of BancFirst on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of BancFirst based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on BancFirst price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding BancFirst. By analyzing BancFirst's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of BancFirst's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to BancFirst specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0167 | 0.0149 | 0.0145 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.96 | 4.26 | 2.22 |
BancFirst February 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of BancFirst help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BancFirst from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze BancFirst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0136 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0166 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 10038.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Variance | 3.57 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.19) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0066 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.65 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.48 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.29) | |||
| Skewness | (1.19) | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.1 |
BancFirst February 28, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as BancFirst stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 8,830 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | ||
| Day Median Price | 111.47 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 110.98 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (4.27) |
Complementary Tools for BancFirst Stock analysis
When running BancFirst's price analysis, check to measure BancFirst's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BancFirst is operating at the current time. Most of BancFirst's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BancFirst's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BancFirst's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BancFirst to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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