Caterpillar Stock Technical Analysis
| CATR Stock | 54.99 0.69 1.24% |
As of the 18th of February 2026, Caterpillar shows the Mean Deviation of 1.62, downside deviation of 2.21, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.185. Caterpillar technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Caterpillar information ratio, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and maximum drawdown to decide if Caterpillar is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 54.99 per share.
Caterpillar Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Caterpillar, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CaterpillarCaterpillar |
Caterpillar 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Caterpillar's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Caterpillar.
| 11/20/2025 |
| 02/18/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Caterpillar on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Caterpillar or generate 0.0% return on investment in Caterpillar over 90 days. Caterpillar is related to or competes with Brookfield Office, Evertz Technologies, Firan Technology, Highwood Asset, Micron Technology, Constellation Software, and Xtract One. Caterpillar is entity of Canada. It is traded as Stock on NEO exchange. More
Caterpillar Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Caterpillar's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Caterpillar upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2003 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.95 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.54) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.05 |
Caterpillar Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Caterpillar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Caterpillar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Caterpillar historical prices to predict the future Caterpillar's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.185 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4668 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3607 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1974 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.79 |
Caterpillar February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.185 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.8 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 444.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Variance | 4.72 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2003 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4668 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3607 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1974 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.79 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.95 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.54) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.77) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0333 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9522 |
Caterpillar Backtested Returns
Caterpillar appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Caterpillar secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.27, which signifies that the company had a 0.27 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Caterpillar's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.58% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Caterpillar's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.185, downside deviation of 2.21, and Mean Deviation of 1.62 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Caterpillar holds a performance score of 21. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.27, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Caterpillar's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Caterpillar is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Caterpillar's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Caterpillar's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.18 |
Very weak predictability
Caterpillar has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Caterpillar time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Caterpillar price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Caterpillar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.18 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.21 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 12.84 |
Caterpillar technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Caterpillar Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Caterpillar volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Caterpillar Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Caterpillar on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caterpillar based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Caterpillar price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Caterpillar. By analyzing Caterpillar's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Caterpillar's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Caterpillar specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Caterpillar February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Caterpillar help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caterpillar from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Caterpillar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.185 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.8 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 444.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Variance | 4.72 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2003 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4668 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3607 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1974 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.79 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.95 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.54) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.77) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0333 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9522 |
Caterpillar February 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Caterpillar stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 544.65 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.55) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 54.92 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 54.94 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.27) |
Complementary Tools for Caterpillar Stock analysis
When running Caterpillar's price analysis, check to measure Caterpillar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caterpillar is operating at the current time. Most of Caterpillar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caterpillar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caterpillar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caterpillar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital | |
| Funds Screener Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins | |
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets |