Capitol Federal Financial Stock Technical Analysis
| CFFN Stock | USD 7.62 0.03 0.40% |
As of the 5th of February, Capitol Federal shows the Downside Deviation of 1.38, mean deviation of 1.23, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1856. Capitol Federal Financial technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Capitol Federal Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Capitol, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CapitolCapitol Federal's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Capitol Federal Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 7.75 | Hold | 2 | Odds |
Most Capitol analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Capitol stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Capitol Federal Financial, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Capitol conference calls.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Capitol diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capitol Federal. Projected growth potential of Capitol fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Capitol Federal data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.328 | Dividend Share 0.34 | Earnings Share 0.56 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.204 |
Investors evaluate Capitol Federal Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Capitol Federal's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Capitol Federal's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Capitol Federal's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Capitol Federal should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Capitol Federal's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Capitol Federal 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Capitol Federal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Capitol Federal.
| 11/07/2025 |
| 02/05/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Capitol Federal on November 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Capitol Federal Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Capitol Federal over 90 days. Capitol Federal is related to or competes with Hanmi Financial, MidWestOne Financial, Central Pacific, Heritage Financial, Esquire Financial, Amalgamated Bank, and Metropolitan Bank. Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. operates as the holding company for Capitol Federal Savings Bank that provides various r... More
Capitol Federal Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Capitol Federal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Capitol Federal Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2049 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.42 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.77) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.13 |
Capitol Federal Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Capitol Federal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Capitol Federal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Capitol Federal historical prices to predict the future Capitol Federal's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1856 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3345 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2655 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2388 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.415 |
Capitol Federal February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1856 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.425 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 408.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.6 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2049 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3345 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2655 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2388 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.415 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.42 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.77) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.51) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3214 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9861 |
Capitol Federal Financial Backtested Returns
Capitol Federal appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Capitol Federal Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.22, which signifies that the company had a 0.22 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Capitol Federal Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Capitol Federal's Downside Deviation of 1.38, mean deviation of 1.23, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1856 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Capitol Federal holds a performance score of 17. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.93, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Capitol Federal returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Capitol Federal is expected to follow. Please check Capitol Federal's sortino ratio, skewness, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Capitol Federal's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.63 |
Good predictability
Capitol Federal Financial has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Capitol Federal time series from 7th of November 2025 to 22nd of December 2025 and 22nd of December 2025 to 5th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Capitol Federal Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Capitol Federal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.63 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.38 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.09 |
Capitol Federal technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Capitol Federal Financial Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Capitol Federal Financial volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Capitol Federal Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Capitol Federal Financial on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capitol Federal Financial based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Capitol Federal Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Capitol Federal Financial. By analyzing Capitol Federal's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Capitol Federal's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Capitol Federal specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0587 | 0.0536 | 0.0482 | 0.0382 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.0 | 1.98 | 1.78 | 1.69 |
Capitol Federal February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Capitol help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capitol from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Capitol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1856 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.425 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 408.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.6 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2049 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3345 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2655 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2388 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.415 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.42 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.77) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.51) | |||
| Skewness | 0.3214 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9861 |
Capitol Federal February 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Capitol stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 19,324 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.21 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 7.60 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 7.61 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.04 |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Capitol Federal Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Capitol diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capitol Federal. Projected growth potential of Capitol fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Capitol Federal data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.328 | Dividend Share 0.34 | Earnings Share 0.56 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.204 |
Investors evaluate Capitol Federal Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Capitol Federal's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Capitol Federal's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Capitol Federal's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Capitol Federal should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Capitol Federal's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.