Ciena Corp Stock Technical Analysis
| CIEN Stock | USD 276.48 7.99 2.98% |
As of the 3rd of February, Ciena Corp shows the mean deviation of 3.07, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1236. Ciena Corp technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Ciena Corp Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Ciena, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CienaCiena Corp's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Ciena Corp Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 237.13 | Strong Buy | 16 | Odds |
Most Ciena analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Ciena stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Ciena Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Ciena conference calls.
Will Communications Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Ciena diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ciena Corp. Projected growth potential of Ciena fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ciena Corp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Earnings Share 0.86 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.203 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Ciena Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Ciena Corp's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Ciena Corp's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Ciena Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ciena Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Ciena Corp's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Ciena Corp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ciena Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ciena Corp.
| 11/05/2025 |
| 02/03/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ciena Corp on November 5, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ciena Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ciena Corp over 90 days. Ciena Corp is related to or competes with Credo Technology, Hewlett Packard, Wipro Limited, EchoStar, Ast Spacemobile, Telefonaktiebolaget, and Broadridge Financial. Ciena Corporation provides network hardware, software, and services that support the transport, routing, switching, aggr... More
Ciena Corp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ciena Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ciena Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.23 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1443 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.22 |
Ciena Corp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ciena Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ciena Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ciena Corp historical prices to predict the future Ciena Corp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1236 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5895 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3958 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1458 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4142 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ciena Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ciena Corp February 3, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1236 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4242 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.81 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.23 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 635.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.28 | |||
| Variance | 18.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1443 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5895 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3958 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1458 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4142 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 17.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.46) | |||
| Skewness | (0.33) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.42 |
Ciena Corp Backtested Returns
Ciena Corp appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Ciena Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which signifies that the company had a 0.16 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. By analyzing Ciena Corp's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.68% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Ciena Corp's risk adjusted performance of 0.1236, and Mean Deviation of 3.07 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Ciena Corp holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.6, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ciena Corp will likely underperform. Please check Ciena Corp's potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Ciena Corp's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.47 |
Average predictability
Ciena Corp has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ciena Corp time series from 5th of November 2025 to 20th of December 2025 and 20th of December 2025 to 3rd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ciena Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Ciena Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.32 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 141.03 |
Ciena Corp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Ciena Corp Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Ciena Corp across different markets.
About Ciena Corp Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Ciena Corp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ciena Corp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Ciena Corp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Ciena Corp. By analyzing Ciena Corp's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Ciena Corp's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Ciena Corp specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2010 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 74.68 | 85.48 | 64.82 | PTB Ratio | 9.9 | 2.42 | 2.3 |
Ciena Corp February 3, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Ciena help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ciena from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Ciena charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1236 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4242 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.81 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.23 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 635.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.28 | |||
| Variance | 18.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1443 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5895 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3958 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1458 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4142 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 17.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.46) | |||
| Skewness | (0.33) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.42 |
Ciena Corp February 3, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ciena stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.04 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.67 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | ||
| Day Median Price | 274.47 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 275.14 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 6.01 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 11.95 |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ciena Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services. To learn how to invest in Ciena Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ciena Corp guide.You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Will Communications Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Ciena diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ciena Corp. Projected growth potential of Ciena fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ciena Corp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Earnings Share 0.86 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.203 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Ciena Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Ciena Corp's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Ciena Corp's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Ciena Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ciena Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Ciena Corp's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.