Cosan SA (Brazil) Technical Analysis

CSAN3 Stock  BRL 6.53  0.13  2.03%   
As of the 23rd of February, Cosan SA shows the Mean Deviation of 2.06, risk adjusted performance of 0.0253, and Downside Deviation of 2.91. Cosan SA technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Cosan SA information ratio, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and maximum drawdown to decide if Cosan SA is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 6.53 per share.

Cosan SA Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Cosan, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Cosan
  
Cosan SA's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
It's important to distinguish between Cosan SA's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cosan SA should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Cosan SA's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Cosan SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cosan SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cosan SA.
0.00
11/25/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/23/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Cosan SA on November 25, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cosan SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cosan SA over 90 days. Cosan SA is related to or competes with Petroreconcavo. Cosan S.A., through its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the fuel distribution business in Brazil, Europe, Latin Ameri... More

Cosan SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cosan SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cosan SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Cosan SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cosan SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cosan SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cosan SA historical prices to predict the future Cosan SA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.836.539.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.485.187.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.926.629.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.566.2310.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cosan SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cosan SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cosan SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cosan SA.

Cosan SA February 23, 2026 Technical Indicators

Cosan SA Backtested Returns

Cosan SA appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Cosan SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0803, which signifies that the company had a 0.0803 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Cosan SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Cosan SA's Downside Deviation of 2.91, risk adjusted performance of 0.0253, and Mean Deviation of 2.06 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Cosan SA holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0468, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Cosan SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Cosan SA is likely to outperform the market. Please check Cosan SA's treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Cosan SA's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.85  

Excellent reverse predictability

Cosan SA has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cosan SA time series from 25th of November 2025 to 9th of January 2026 and 9th of January 2026 to 23rd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cosan SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Cosan SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.85
Spearman Rank Test-0.81
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.22
Cosan SA technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Cosan SA technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Cosan SA trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Cosan SA Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Cosan SA across different markets.

About Cosan SA Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Cosan SA on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cosan SA based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Cosan SA price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Cosan SA. By analyzing Cosan SA's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Cosan SA's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Cosan SA specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Cosan SA February 23, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Cosan help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cosan from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Cosan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Cosan SA February 23, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cosan stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for Cosan Stock Analysis

When running Cosan SA's price analysis, check to measure Cosan SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cosan SA is operating at the current time. Most of Cosan SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cosan SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cosan SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cosan SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.