Cosan SA Valuation

CSAN3 Stock  BRL 7.58  0.36  4.99%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Cosan SA shows a prevailing Real Value of R$7.05 per share. The current price of the firm is R$7.58. Our model approximates the value of Cosan SA from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.0672, current valuation of 60.09 B, and Profit Margin of 0.04 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
7.58
Please note that Cosan SA's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Cosan SA is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Cosan SA's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Cosan stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Cosan SA. Since Cosan SA is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Cosan Stock. However, Cosan SA's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.58 Real  7.05 Hype  7.58 Naive  7.67
The intrinsic value of Cosan SA's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Cosan SA's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
7.05
Real Value
10.27
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Cosan SA helps investors to forecast how Cosan stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Cosan SA more accurately as focusing exclusively on Cosan SA's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.207.597.98
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.367.5810.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.457.6710.88
Details

Cosan SA Total Value Analysis

Cosan SA is currently projected to have takeover price of 60.09 B with market capitalization of 28.88 B, debt of 44.28 B, and cash on hands of 16.08 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Cosan SA fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
60.09 B
28.88 B
44.28 B
16.08 B

Cosan SA Investor Information

About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.86. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cosan SA last dividend was issued on the 6th of May 2022. The entity had 4:1 split on the 6th of May 2021. Based on the key measurements obtained from Cosan SA's financial statements, Cosan SA is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in March.

Cosan SA Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Cosan SA has an asset utilization ratio of 26.44 percent. This implies that the Company is making R$0.26 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Cosan SA is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Cosan SA Ownership Allocation

Cosan SA holds a total of 1.87 Billion outstanding shares. Cosan SA retains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Since such a large part of the company is owned by insiders, it is advisable to analyze if each of these insiders have been buying or selling the stock in recent months. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Cosan SA Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 25.87 B. Net Income was 6.31 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.34 B.

About Cosan SA Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Cosan SA's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Cosan SA based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Cosan SA. We calculate exposure to Cosan SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Cosan SA's related companies.
Cosan S.A., through its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the fuel distribution business in Brazil, Europe, Latin America, North America, Asia, and internationally. Cosan S.A. was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil. COSAN ON operates under Oil Gas Refining Marketing classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange.

8 Steps to conduct Cosan SA's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Cosan SA's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Cosan SA's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Cosan SA's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Cosan SA's revenue streams: Identify Cosan SA's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Cosan SA's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Cosan SA's growth potential: Evaluate Cosan SA's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Cosan SA's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Cosan SA's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Additional Tools for Cosan Stock Analysis

When running Cosan SA's price analysis, check to measure Cosan SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cosan SA is operating at the current time. Most of Cosan SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cosan SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cosan SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cosan SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.