Fastenal (Germany) Technical Analysis

FAS Stock  EUR 36.77  0.31  0.84%   
As of the 28th of January, Fastenal shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 10838.87, downside deviation of 1.27, and Mean Deviation of 1.03. Fastenal technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Fastenal jensen alpha, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance to decide if Fastenal is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 36.77 per share.

Fastenal Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Fastenal, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Fastenal
  
Fastenal's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fastenal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fastenal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fastenal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fastenal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fastenal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fastenal.
0.00
10/30/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
01/28/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fastenal on October 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fastenal Company or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fastenal over 90 days. Fastenal is related to or competes with Entravision Communications, Zoom Video, Xinhua Winshare, American Public, and G8 EDUCATION. Fastenal Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of industrial and construction s... More

Fastenal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fastenal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fastenal Company upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fastenal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fastenal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fastenal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fastenal historical prices to predict the future Fastenal's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.4636.7738.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.0836.3937.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.0238.3339.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.9736.1438.31
Details

Fastenal January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators

Fastenal Backtested Returns

At this point, Fastenal is very steady. Fastenal secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.039, which denotes the company had a 0.039 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Fastenal Company, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Fastenal's Mean Deviation of 1.03, coefficient of variation of 10838.87, and Downside Deviation of 1.27 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0516%. Fastenal has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.32, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Fastenal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fastenal is expected to be smaller as well. Fastenal right now shows a risk of 1.32%. Please confirm Fastenal potential upside, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to decide if Fastenal will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.18  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Fastenal Company has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fastenal time series from 30th of October 2025 to 14th of December 2025 and 14th of December 2025 to 28th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fastenal price movement. The serial correlation of -0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Fastenal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.18
Spearman Rank Test-0.51
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.06
Fastenal technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Fastenal technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Fastenal trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Fastenal Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Fastenal volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Fastenal Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Fastenal Company on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fastenal Company based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Fastenal price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Fastenal. By analyzing Fastenal's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Fastenal's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Fastenal specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Fastenal January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Fastenal help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fastenal from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Fastenal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Fastenal January 28, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Fastenal stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Fastenal Stock analysis

When running Fastenal's price analysis, check to measure Fastenal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fastenal is operating at the current time. Most of Fastenal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fastenal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fastenal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fastenal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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