First Bancorp Stock Technical Analysis
| FBNC Stock | USD 58.06 1.26 2.22% |
As of the 29th of January, First Bancorp shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 599.54, mean deviation of 1.22, and Downside Deviation of 1.58. First Bancorp technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.
First Bancorp Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Bancorp's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.First Bancorp Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 63.8 | Buy | 5 | Odds |
Most First analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand First stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of First Bancorp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to First conference calls.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could First diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Bancorp. Market participants price First higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every First Bancorp data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.433 | Dividend Share 0.91 | Earnings Share 2.68 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.215 |
Understanding First Bancorp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects First's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what First Bancorp's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push First Bancorp's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, First Bancorp's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
First Bancorp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Bancorp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Bancorp.
| 10/31/2025 |
| 01/29/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Bancorp on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Bancorp over 90 days. First Bancorp is related to or competes with Customers Bancorp, First Busey, Enterprise Financial, NBT Bancorp, Hilltop Holdings, Nicolet Bankshares, and Stock Yards. First Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for First Bank that provides banking products and services for indivi... More
First Bancorp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Bancorp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1234 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.68) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.02 |
First Bancorp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Bancorp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Bancorp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Bancorp historical prices to predict the future First Bancorp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1284 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2057 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1254 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1349 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2505 |
First Bancorp January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1284 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2605 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 599.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Variance | 2.97 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1234 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2057 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1254 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1349 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2505 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.68) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.53) | |||
| Skewness | (0.38) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.56 |
First Bancorp Backtested Returns
First Bancorp appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. First Bancorp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.18, which denotes the company had a 0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for First Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize First Bancorp's Downside Deviation of 1.58, mean deviation of 1.22, and Coefficient Of Variation of 599.54 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, First Bancorp holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.11, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. First Bancorp returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Bancorp is expected to follow. Please check First Bancorp's expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether First Bancorp's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.61 |
Good predictability
First Bancorp has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Bancorp time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current First Bancorp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.61 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.66 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 8.13 |
First Bancorp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Bancorp Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for First Bancorp across different markets.
About First Bancorp Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Bancorp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Bancorp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Bancorp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Bancorp. By analyzing First Bancorp's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Bancorp's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Bancorp specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0231 | 0.0201 | 0.0177 | 0.0295 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.8 | 3.4 | 3.87 | 4.06 |
First Bancorp January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1284 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2605 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 599.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Variance | 2.97 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1234 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2057 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1254 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1349 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2505 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.68) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.53) | |||
| Skewness | (0.38) | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.56 |
First Bancorp January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 7,454 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.08 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 57.61 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 57.76 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.09 |
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure First Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of First Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites |