First Capital Stock Technical Analysis
| FCAP Stock | USD 54.20 3.00 5.24% |
As of the 7th of February, First Capital shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 896.69, downside deviation of 3.4, and Mean Deviation of 2.98. First Capital technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.
First Capital Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Capital's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Can Regional Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does First have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Capital. Market participants price First higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating First Capital demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.545 | Dividend Share 1.18 | Earnings Share 4.41 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.253 |
The market value of First Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Capital's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because First Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, First Capital's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
First Capital 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Capital's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Capital.
| 11/09/2025 |
| 02/07/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Capital on November 9, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Capital or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Capital over 90 days. First Capital is related to or competes with Landmark Bancorp, CF Bankshares, Finward Bancorp, Eagle Bancorp, Peoples Bancorp, ECB Bancorp, and Mainstreet Bank. First Capital, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for First Harrison Bank that provides various banking services ... More
First Capital Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Capital's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Capital upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0887 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 20.2 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.24) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.27 |
First Capital Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Capital historical prices to predict the future First Capital's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0978 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4346 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0396 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1023 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (4.70) |
First Capital February 7, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0978 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (4.69) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.98 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 896.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.92 | |||
| Variance | 15.38 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0887 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4346 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0396 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1023 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (4.70) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 20.2 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.24) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.72) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1197 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.5895 |
First Capital Backtested Returns
First Capital appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. First Capital secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which denotes the company had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for First Capital, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize First Capital's Downside Deviation of 3.4, mean deviation of 2.98, and Coefficient Of Variation of 896.69 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, First Capital holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.091, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Capital is likely to outperform the market. Please check First Capital's semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether First Capital's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.19 |
Very weak predictability
First Capital has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Capital time series from 9th of November 2025 to 24th of December 2025 and 24th of December 2025 to 7th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Capital price movement. The serial correlation of 0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current First Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.19 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.11 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 20.56 |
First Capital technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Capital Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Capital volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About First Capital Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Capital on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Capital based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Capital price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Capital. By analyzing First Capital's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Capital's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Capital specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0389 | 0.0349 | 0.0203 | 0.0367 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.82 | 1.86 | 3.03 | 2.02 |
First Capital February 7, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0978 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (4.69) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.98 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 896.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.92 | |||
| Variance | 15.38 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0887 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4346 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0396 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1023 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (4.70) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 20.2 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.24) | |||
| Potential Upside | 7.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.72) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1197 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.5895 |
First Capital February 7, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 935.54 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.76) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | ||
| Day Median Price | 55.63 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 55.15 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.93) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.0003 |
Additional Tools for First Stock Analysis
When running First Capital's price analysis, check to measure First Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Capital is operating at the current time. Most of First Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.