Ferguson Plc Stock Technical Analysis
| FERG Stock | USD 256.43 4.70 1.87% |
As of the 30th of January, Ferguson Plc shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 2457.6, mean deviation of 1.28, and Downside Deviation of 2.18. Ferguson Plc technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Ferguson Plc variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to decide if Ferguson Plc is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 256.43 per share. Given that Ferguson Plc has jensen alpha of (0.01), we urge you to verify Ferguson Plc's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Ferguson Plc Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Ferguson, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FergusonFerguson Plc's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Can Stock industry sustain growth momentum? Does Ferguson have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ferguson Plc. Market participants price Ferguson higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Ferguson Plc demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Understanding Ferguson Plc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Ferguson's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Ferguson Plc's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Ferguson Plc's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ferguson Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ferguson Plc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Ferguson Plc's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Ferguson Plc 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ferguson Plc's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ferguson Plc.
| 11/01/2025 |
| 01/30/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ferguson Plc on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ferguson Plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ferguson Plc over 90 days. Ferguson Plc is related to or competes with WW Grainger, Fastenal, Roper Technologies, Ametek, Carrier Global, PACCAR, and Ferrovial. Ferguson plc distributes plumbing and heating products in the United States and Canada More
Ferguson Plc Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ferguson Plc's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ferguson Plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0075 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.07 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.56) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.77 |
Ferguson Plc Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ferguson Plc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ferguson Plc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ferguson Plc historical prices to predict the future Ferguson Plc's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0356 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0063 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0452 |
Ferguson Plc January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0356 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0552 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2457.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Variance | 3.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0075 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0063 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0452 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.07 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.56) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.77 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.22) | |||
| Skewness | (1.32) | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.47 |
Ferguson Plc Backtested Returns
At this point, Ferguson Plc is very steady. Ferguson Plc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0444, which denotes the company had a 0.0444 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Ferguson Plc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Ferguson Plc's Coefficient Of Variation of 2457.6, downside deviation of 2.18, and Mean Deviation of 1.28 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0827%. Ferguson Plc has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.44, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ferguson Plc will likely underperform. Ferguson Plc right now shows a risk of 1.86%. Please confirm Ferguson Plc semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if Ferguson Plc will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.24 |
Weak reverse predictability
Ferguson Plc has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ferguson Plc time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ferguson Plc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Ferguson Plc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.24 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.12 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 143.6 |
Ferguson Plc technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Ferguson Plc Technical Analysis
Indicator |
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The True Range is a measure of Ferguson Plc volatility developed by Welles Wilder.
About Ferguson Plc Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Ferguson Plc on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ferguson Plc based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Ferguson Plc price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Ferguson Plc. By analyzing Ferguson Plc's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Ferguson Plc's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Ferguson Plc specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Ferguson Plc January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Ferguson help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ferguson from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Ferguson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0356 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0552 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2457.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Variance | 3.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0075 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0063 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0452 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.07 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.56) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.77 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.22) | |||
| Skewness | (1.32) | |||
| Kurtosis | 5.47 |
Ferguson Plc January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ferguson stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 28,172 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.54 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 254.64 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 255.24 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 4.14 |
Complementary Tools for Ferguson Stock analysis
When running Ferguson Plc's price analysis, check to measure Ferguson Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ferguson Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Ferguson Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ferguson Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ferguson Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ferguson Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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