First Reliance Bancshares Stock Technical Analysis
| FSRL Stock | USD 14.53 0.03 0.21% |
As of the 7th of February, First Reliance shows the Downside Deviation of 2.42, mean deviation of 1.19, and Coefficient Of Variation of 383.34. First Reliance Bancshares technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm First Reliance Bancshares variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if First Reliance Bancshares is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 14.53 per share. Given that First Reliance has jensen alpha of 0.4399, we urge you to verify First Reliance Bancshares's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
First Reliance Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst |
First Reliance 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Reliance's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Reliance.
| 11/09/2025 |
| 02/07/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Reliance on November 9, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Reliance Bancshares or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Reliance over 90 days. First Reliance is related to or competes with FNB, Apollo Bancorp, Commercial National, Community Bankers, Pinnacle Bancshares, Bank of San Francisco, and Pioneer Bankcorp. First Reliance Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for First Reliance Bank that provides banking produ... More
First Reliance Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Reliance's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Reliance Bancshares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.42 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.209 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.94) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.74 |
First Reliance Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Reliance's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Reliance's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Reliance historical prices to predict the future First Reliance's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2155 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4399 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2702 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1494 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 27.75 |
First Reliance February 7, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2155 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 27.76 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.42 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 383.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Variance | 2.99 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.209 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4399 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2702 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1494 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 27.75 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.94) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.22 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.64) | |||
| Skewness | (0.28) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.9 |
First Reliance Bancshares Backtested Returns
First Reliance appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. First Reliance Bancshares secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.25, which denotes the company had a 0.25 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for First Reliance Bancshares, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize First Reliance's Mean Deviation of 1.19, coefficient of variation of 383.34, and Downside Deviation of 2.42 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, First Reliance holds a performance score of 19. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0159, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Reliance's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Reliance is expected to be smaller as well. Please check First Reliance's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether First Reliance's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.31 |
Below average predictability
First Reliance Bancshares has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Reliance time series from 9th of November 2025 to 24th of December 2025 and 24th of December 2025 to 7th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Reliance Bancshares price movement. The serial correlation of 0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current First Reliance price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.31 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.41 |
First Reliance technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Reliance Bancshares Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Reliance Bancshares volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About First Reliance Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Reliance Bancshares on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Reliance Bancshares based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Reliance Bancshares price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Reliance Bancshares. By analyzing First Reliance's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Reliance's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Reliance specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
First Reliance February 7, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2155 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 27.76 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.42 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 383.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Variance | 2.99 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.209 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4399 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2702 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1494 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 27.75 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.8 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.94) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.22 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.64) | |||
| Skewness | (0.28) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.9 |
First Reliance February 7, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 148.17 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.07 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 14.53 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 14.53 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.01 |
Other Information on Investing in First Pink Sheet
First Reliance financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Reliance security.