First Reliance Bancshares Stock Technical Analysis

FSRL Stock  USD 15.09  0.01  0.07%   
As of the 2nd of March, First Reliance shows the Mean Deviation of 1.11, coefficient of variation of 784.64, and Downside Deviation of 2.13. First Reliance Bancshares technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm First Reliance Bancshares variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if First Reliance Bancshares is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 15.09 per share. Given that First Reliance has jensen alpha of 0.2158, we urge you to verify First Reliance Bancshares's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

First Reliance Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to First
  
First Reliance's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Reliance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Reliance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, First Reliance's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

First Reliance 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Reliance's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Reliance.
0.00
12/02/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/02/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in First Reliance on December 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Reliance Bancshares or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Reliance over 90 days. First Reliance is related to or competes with FNB, Apollo Bancorp, Commercial National, Community Bankers, Pinnacle Bancshares, Bank of San Francisco, and Pioneer Bankcorp. First Reliance Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for First Reliance Bank that provides banking produ... More

First Reliance Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Reliance's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Reliance Bancshares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

First Reliance Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Reliance's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Reliance's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Reliance historical prices to predict the future First Reliance's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.2715.0916.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7014.5216.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.4614.2816.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.0915.0915.09
Details

First Reliance March 2, 2026 Technical Indicators

First Reliance Bancshares Backtested Returns

First Reliance appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. First Reliance Bancshares secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which denotes the company had a 0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for First Reliance Bancshares, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize First Reliance's Mean Deviation of 1.11, downside deviation of 2.13, and Coefficient Of Variation of 784.64 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, First Reliance holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.23, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Reliance's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Reliance is expected to be smaller as well. Please check First Reliance's skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether First Reliance's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.65  

Very good reverse predictability

First Reliance Bancshares has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Reliance time series from 2nd of December 2025 to 16th of January 2026 and 16th of January 2026 to 2nd of March 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Reliance Bancshares price movement. The serial correlation of -0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current First Reliance price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.14
First Reliance technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of First Reliance technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of First Reliance trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

First Reliance Bancshares Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for First Reliance Bancshares across different markets.

About First Reliance Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Reliance Bancshares on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Reliance Bancshares based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Reliance Bancshares price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Reliance Bancshares. By analyzing First Reliance's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Reliance's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Reliance specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

First Reliance March 2, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

First Reliance March 2, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Other Information on Investing in First Pink Sheet

First Reliance financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Reliance security.