Hci Group Stock Technical Analysis
| HCI Stock | USD 160.40 1.73 1.09% |
As of the 1st of February, HCI retains the standard deviation of 2.18, and Coefficient Of Variation of (614.11). HCI technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the entity's future prices.
HCI Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as HCI, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to HCIHCI's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.HCI Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 245.0 | Strong Buy | 5 | Odds |
Most HCI analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand HCI stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of HCI Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to HCI conference calls.
Is there potential for Property & Casualty Insurance market expansion? Will HCI introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HCI. Market participants price HCI higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about HCI listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 16.123 | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 15.6 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.48 |
Understanding HCI Group requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects HCI's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what HCI's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push HCI's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HCI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HCI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, HCI's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
HCI 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to HCI's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of HCI.
| 11/03/2025 |
| 02/01/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in HCI on November 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HCI Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in HCI over 90 days. HCI is related to or competes with Kemper, Palomar Holdings, Seacoast Banking, Aspen Insurance, Banc Of, Bank of Hawaii, and Stewart Information. HCI Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property and casualty insurance, reinsurance, real estat... More
HCI Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure HCI's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HCI Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.93 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.10) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.1 |
HCI Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for HCI's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as HCI's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use HCI historical prices to predict the future HCI's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.37) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.47) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (2.50) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HCI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
HCI February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (2.49) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (614.11) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.73 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.37) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.47) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (2.50) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.93 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.10) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.1 | |||
| Skewness | (0.58) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.859 |
HCI Group Backtested Returns
HCI Group holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.15, which attests that the company had a -0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. HCI Group exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out HCI's coefficient of variation of (614.11), and Standard Deviation of 2.18 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.15, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, HCI's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding HCI is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, HCI Group has a negative expected return of -0.34%. Please make sure to check out HCI's kurtosis, market facilitation index, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if HCI Group performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Auto-correlation | 0.58 |
Modest predictability
HCI Group has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between HCI time series from 3rd of November 2025 to 18th of December 2025 and 18th of December 2025 to 1st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HCI Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current HCI price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.58 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.36 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 175.89 |
HCI technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
HCI Group Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of HCI Group volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About HCI Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of HCI Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of HCI Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on HCI Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding HCI Group. By analyzing HCI's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of HCI's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to HCI specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0151 | 0.0142 | 0.0164 | 0.0156 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.65 | 1.55 | 1.79 | 1.56 |
HCI February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of HCI help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HCI from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze HCI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.11) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (2.49) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (614.11) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.73 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.37) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.47) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (2.50) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.93 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.10) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.1 | |||
| Skewness | (0.58) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.859 |
HCI February 1, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as HCI stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.03 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.34 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 159.08 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 159.52 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.19 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 5.14 |
Complementary Tools for HCI Stock analysis
When running HCI's price analysis, check to measure HCI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HCI is operating at the current time. Most of HCI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HCI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HCI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HCI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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