Lemonade Stock Technical Analysis

LMND Stock  USD 72.44  8.13  10.09%   
As of the 4th of February, Lemonade secures the Mean Deviation of 3.99, risk adjusted performance of 0.0914, and Downside Deviation of 3.81. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Lemonade, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify Lemonade jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and skewness to decide if Lemonade is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 72.44 per share. Given that Lemonade has jensen alpha of 0.6941, we recommend you to check Lemonade's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Lemonade Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Lemonade, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to LemonadeLemonade's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Lemonade Analyst Consensus

Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
67.11Hold9Odds
Lemonade current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Lemonade analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Lemonade stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Lemonade, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Lemonade conference calls.
Lemonade Analyst Advice Details
Will Property & Casualty Insurance sector continue expanding? Could Lemonade diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lemonade. Expected growth trajectory for Lemonade significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Lemonade data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(2.43)
Revenue Per Share
9.002
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.422
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(0.31)
Understanding Lemonade requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Lemonade's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Lemonade's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Lemonade's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Lemonade's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Lemonade represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Lemonade's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

Lemonade 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lemonade's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lemonade.
0.00
11/06/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/04/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lemonade on November 6, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lemonade or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lemonade over 90 days. Lemonade is related to or competes with Selective Insurance, Mercury General, White Mountains, Allstate, Flagstar Financial, RLI Corp, and Radian. Lemonade, Inc. provides various insurance products in the United States and Europe More

Lemonade Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lemonade's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lemonade upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lemonade Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lemonade's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lemonade's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lemonade historical prices to predict the future Lemonade's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.1572.7377.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.4065.9879.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
61.9766.5571.13
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
61.0767.1174.49
Details

Lemonade February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators

Lemonade Backtested Returns

At this point, Lemonade is very steady. Lemonade has Sharpe Ratio of close to zero, which conveys that the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Lemonade, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Lemonade's Downside Deviation of 3.81, mean deviation of 3.99, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0914 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0422%. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.51, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Lemonade are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Lemonade is likely to outperform the market. Lemonade right now secures a risk of 4.58%. Please verify Lemonade sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Lemonade will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.31  

Below average predictability

Lemonade has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lemonade time series from 6th of November 2025 to 21st of December 2025 and 21st of December 2025 to 4th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lemonade price movement. The serial correlation of 0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current Lemonade price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.31
Spearman Rank Test0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance44.99
Lemonade technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Lemonade technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Lemonade trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Lemonade Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Lemonade volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Lemonade Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Lemonade on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lemonade based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Lemonade price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Lemonade. By analyzing Lemonade's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Lemonade's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Lemonade specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Interest Debt Per Share0.621.511.361.43
Revenue Per Share6.177.416.677.01

Lemonade February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Lemonade help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lemonade from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Lemonade charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Lemonade February 4, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lemonade stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Lemonade Stock analysis

When running Lemonade's price analysis, check to measure Lemonade's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lemonade is operating at the current time. Most of Lemonade's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lemonade's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lemonade's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lemonade to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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