Moog Inc Stock Technical Analysis
| MOG-A Stock | USD 310.68 3.68 1.20% |
According to pricing data from the 5th of May, Moog trades at 310.68 per share. Quantitative signals reflect Mean Deviation of 1.66, downside deviation of 2.18, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0581. Volume-adjusted indicators are evaluated relative to historical ranges. Current technical signals are evaluated against industry dispersion.
Moog Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Moog, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MoogMoog |
Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 328.25 | Strong Buy | 4 | Odds |
Current and historical analyst recommendations for Moog Inc are summarized from research sources. Average analyst consensus is included for context. Most Moog analysts issue ratings four times a year at intervals of three months. These consensus estimates reflect the collective view of professional researchers monitoring Moog's financials. The timing of analyst rating changes for Moog Inc matters as much as the direction of the revision.
What-If Analysis
Running a what-if backtest on Moog Inc provides a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. The analytical value is perspective: it shows whether the thesis would have remained investable across different historical windows or depended too heavily on one favorable stretch.
| 02/04/2026 |
| 05/05/2026 |
An initial 0.00 allocation to Moog on February 4, 2026 held through today would produce 0.00 in net return. That corresponds to a 0.0% return on investment in Moog in total over 90 days. Moog competes with or is related to Gates Industrial, MSA Safety, Flowserve, Amentum Holdings, ADT, Federal Signal, and Ralliant Common. Moog Inc. designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls and controls systems for original eq... More
Moog Upside and Downside Indicators Overview
Upside and downside measures for Moog frame directional pressure and range behavior. Upside potential is measured relative to recent highs; downside exposure is framed against recent lows.
| Downside Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0545 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.28 | |||
| Value At Risk | -3.86 | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.46 |
Moog Volatility and Risk Indicators Snapshot
Moog market risk signals reflect the scope and pattern of historical return variability. Correlation with benchmark returns indicates how much diversification benefit the position provides within a broader portfolio.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0581 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1224 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1358 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0564 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1192 |
Experienced market participants anticipate that Moog's price will even out over time. Periods when Moog's deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis. Mean reversion in Moog's serves as a complement to momentum analysis.
Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0581 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1292 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1827.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Variance | 5.08 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0545 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1224 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1358 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0564 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1192 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.28 | |||
| Value At Risk | -3.86 | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.75 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.89 | |||
| Skewness | -0.19 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9094 |
Moog Inc Backtested Returns
Moog remains characterized by a very low volatility profile within the selected investment span. It maintains a Sharpe Ratio (Efficiency) of -0.0157, representing negative adjusted performance consistency. We identified twenty-nine technical indicators influencing the company's volatility profile. Please review metrics such as mean deviation of 1.66, downside deviation of 2.18, and risk-adjusted performance of 0.0581 to assess internal risk calibration. The firm shows a market beta of 0.95, which means generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. With a beta near 1, Moog tends to mirror market movements with minimal deviation in either direction. At this point, Moog Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0333%.
Auto-correlation | 0.42 |
Average predictability
Serial correlation analysis for Moog Inc reveals average predictability across the intervals from 4th of February 2026 to 21st of March 2026 and from 21st of March 2026 to 5th of May 2026. The degree of alignment between past and current intervals shapes expectations about Moog Inc's price persistence. At 0.42, just about 42.0% of current Moog price movement aligns with historical price trajectory.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.42 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.45 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 91.86 |
This technical view for Moog centers on price movement and volume signals. The structure incorporates trend and momentum indicators.
Technical Analysis
This analysis covers thirty-seven data points across the selected time horizon. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Moog Inc volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators
Technical analysis of Moog evaluates price structure, momentum, and volatility clustering. Oscillator extremes can precede mean reversion under certain regimes. Moog has a market cap of 9.73 billion, P/E of 18.18, ROE of 14.4%.
Moog Inc values are built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with reporting definitions aligned before display.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Raphi Shpitalnik, Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Technical Indicators
Investors following Moog Inc often rely on technical indicators to test whether price action is supporting continuation, exhaustion, or a possible change in direction. The practical goal is to improve execution quality rather than to suggest that charts alone can predict every move.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0581 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1292 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1827.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Variance | 5.08 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0545 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1224 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1358 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0564 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1192 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.28 | |||
| Value At Risk | -3.86 | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.75 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.89 | |||
| Skewness | -0.19 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.9094 |
May 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Investors following Moog Inc often rely on technical indicators to test whether price action is supporting continuation, exhaustion, or a possible change in direction. The practical goal is to improve execution quality rather than to suggest that charts alone can predict every move.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6,760 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.47 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 311.08 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 310.95 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.44 |