Hello Group Stock Technical Analysis
| MOMO Stock | USD 6.41 0.10 1.54% |
As of the 19th of February, Hello retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), market risk adjusted performance of (0.54), and Standard Deviation of 1.68. Concerning fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Hello Group, as well as the relationship between them.
Hello Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Hello, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to HelloHello's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Hello Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 8.94 | Strong Buy | 9 | Odds |
Most Hello analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Hello stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Hello Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Hello conference calls.
Will Interactive Media & Services sector continue expanding? Could Hello diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hello. Expected growth trajectory for Hello significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Hello data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.16) | Earnings Share 0.61 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
Hello Group's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Hello's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Hello's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Hello's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Hello's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Hello represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Hello's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Hello 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hello's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hello.
| 11/21/2025 |
| 02/19/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Hello on November 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hello Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hello over 90 days. Hello is related to or competes with Opera, Global IBO, Criteo Sa, Fubotv, Taboola, Shutterstock, and IDT. Hello Group Inc. provides mobile-based social and entertainment services in the Peoples Republic of China More
Hello Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hello's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hello Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.36) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.44 |
Hello Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hello's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hello's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hello historical prices to predict the future Hello's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.55) |
Hello February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.54) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,841) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.81 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.55) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.36) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.44 | |||
| Skewness | (0.03) | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.13 |
Hello Group Backtested Returns
Hello Group holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0745, which attests that the entity had a -0.0745 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Hello Group exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Hello's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.54), risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Standard Deviation of 1.68 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.18, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Hello's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hello is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Hello Group has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to check out Hello's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to decide if Hello Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.33 |
Below average predictability
Hello Group has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hello time series from 21st of November 2025 to 5th of January 2026 and 5th of January 2026 to 19th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hello Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current Hello price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.33 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.25 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.04 |
Hello technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Hello Group Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Hello Group volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Hello Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Hello Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hello Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Hello Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Hello Group. By analyzing Hello's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Hello's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Hello specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0681 | 0.0613 | 0.0516 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.0 | 1.15 | 1.09 |
Hello February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Hello help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hello from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Hello charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.54) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,841) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.81 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.55) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.36) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.44 | |||
| Skewness | (0.03) | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.13 |
Hello February 19, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hello stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 8,028 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.67) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 6.48 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 6.45 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.11) |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Hello Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Will Interactive Media & Services sector continue expanding? Could Hello diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hello. Expected growth trajectory for Hello significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Hello data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.16) | Earnings Share 0.61 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
Hello Group's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Hello's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Hello's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Hello's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Hello's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Hello represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Hello's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.