Mercury Systems Stock Technical Analysis
| MRCY Stock | USD 97.04 2.98 2.98% |
As of the 29th of January, Mercury Systems secures the Mean Deviation of 2.01, risk adjusted performance of 0.1264, and Downside Deviation of 2.18. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Mercury Systems, as well as the relationship between them.
Mercury Systems Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Mercury, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MercuryMercury Systems' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Mercury Systems Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 90.88 | Buy | 9 | Odds |
Most Mercury analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Mercury stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Mercury Systems, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Mercury conference calls.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mercury Systems. Expected growth trajectory for Mercury significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Mercury Systems assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Earnings Share (0.56) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.154 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Mercury Systems requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Mercury's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Mercury Systems' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Mercury Systems' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Mercury Systems' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mercury Systems represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Mercury Systems' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Mercury Systems 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mercury Systems' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mercury Systems.
| 10/31/2025 |
| 01/29/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Mercury Systems on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mercury Systems or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mercury Systems over 90 days. Mercury Systems is related to or competes with Ralliant Common, Planet Labs, Herc Holdings, Amentum Holdings, Powell Industries, Avis Budget, and Enersys. Mercury Systems, Inc., a technology company, manufactures and sells components, products, modules, and subsystems for ae... More
Mercury Systems Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mercury Systems' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mercury Systems upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1331 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.66 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.65 |
Mercury Systems Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mercury Systems' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mercury Systems' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mercury Systems historical prices to predict the future Mercury Systems' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1264 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.268 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1804 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1571 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1894 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mercury Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mercury Systems January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1264 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1994 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 616.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.58 | |||
| Variance | 6.63 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1331 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.268 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1804 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1571 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1894 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.66 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.65 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.47) | |||
| Skewness | 0.225 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.04) |
Mercury Systems Backtested Returns
Mercury Systems appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Mercury Systems has Sharpe Ratio of 0.15, which conveys that the firm had a 0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Mercury Systems, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Mercury Systems' Mean Deviation of 2.01, risk adjusted performance of 0.1264, and Downside Deviation of 2.18 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Mercury Systems holds a performance score of 12. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.15, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Mercury Systems will likely underperform. Please check Mercury Systems' jensen alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Mercury Systems' current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.3 |
Weak reverse predictability
Mercury Systems has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mercury Systems time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mercury Systems price movement. The serial correlation of -0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Mercury Systems price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.3 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.25 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 152.6 |
Mercury Systems technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Mercury Systems Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Mercury Systems across different markets.
About Mercury Systems Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Mercury Systems on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mercury Systems based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Mercury Systems price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Mercury Systems. By analyzing Mercury Systems's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Mercury Systems's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Mercury Systems specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2010 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0422 | 0.038 | 0.0338 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.44 | 1.96 | 2.18 |
Mercury Systems January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Mercury help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mercury from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Mercury charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1264 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1994 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 616.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.58 | |||
| Variance | 6.63 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1331 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.268 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1804 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1571 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1894 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.66 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.65 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.47) | |||
| Skewness | 0.225 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.04) |
Mercury Systems January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mercury stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 97.04 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 97.04 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.49) |
Additional Tools for Mercury Stock Analysis
When running Mercury Systems' price analysis, check to measure Mercury Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mercury Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Mercury Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mercury Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mercury Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mercury Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.