Mercury Systems Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MRCY Stock | USD 39.98 1.06 2.72% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Mercury Systems is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Mercury Systems given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Mercury Systems. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Mercury Systems, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Mercury Systems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Mercury Stock please use our How to Invest in Mercury Systems guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mercury and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Mercury Systems. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Mercury |
Execute Mercury Systems Buy or Sell Advice
The Mercury recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mercury Systems. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mercury Systems or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mercury Systems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Mercury Systems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Mercury Systems had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 835.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (137.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 316.73 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from cnet.com: See a Planet Parade Six, and Eventually Seven Planets Will Line Up |
Mercury Systems Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Mercury Systems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mercury Systems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mercury Systems daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mercury Systems price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mercury Systems returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mercury Systems.
| Mean Return | 0.06 | Value At Risk | -3.43 | Potential Upside | 2.83 | Standard Deviation | 3.41 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mercury Systems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Mercury Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Mercury Systems, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mercury Systems back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.3 M | Segall Bryant & Hamill | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | Snyder Capital Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Bamco Inc | 2024-06-30 | 1.2 M | Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1 M | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2024-09-30 | 805.7 K | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-06-30 | 805.2 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 658.8 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 8.8 M | William Blair Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 7.3 M |
Mercury Systems Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (31.6M) | (27.4M) | (40.9M) | (64.1M) | 130K | 136.5K | |
| Change In Cash | (31.1M) | (113.0M) | (48.2M) | 5.9M | 109.0M | 114.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 71.9M | 51.6M | (46.5M) | (60.1M) | 26.1M | 17.0M | |
| Depreciation | 49.3M | 67.1M | 93.4M | 97.3M | 88.0M | 92.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 58K | 3.7M | (1.4M) | 5.2M | 23.2M | 24.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 43.3M | 45.6M | 27.7M | 38.8M | 34.3M | 36.0M | |
| Net Income | 85.7M | 62.0M | 11.3M | (28.3M) | (137.6M) | (130.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 226.8M | 113.8M | 65.7M | 71.6M | 180.5M | 189.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 21.2M | 30.9M | 34.5M | (26.6M) | (30.6M) | (29.1M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 5.3M | 206.3M | 254.0M | 5.5M | 6.3M | 6.0M | |
| Investments | (135.5M) | 1.5M | (274.3M) | (38.6M) | (34.3M) | (36.0M) |
Mercury Systems Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mercury Systems or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mercury Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mercury stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Mercury Systems Volatility Alert
Mercury Systems has relatively low volatility with skewness of 5.04 and kurtosis of 34.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mercury Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mercury Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Mercury Systems Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Mercury Systems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mercury Systems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mercury Systems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mercury Systems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mercury Systems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mercury Systems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Mercury Systems to competition |
| Fundamentals | Mercury Systems | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.079 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0265 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.14) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.82 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 59.63 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.27 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 96.72 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.4 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 34.06 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.59 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.70 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 835.27 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 316.73 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (66.23 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (137.64 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 65.65 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.14 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 665.7 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.35 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.20 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 24.97 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 60.38 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 11.91 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (2.04) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.65 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 34.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.36 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.72 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.32 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.61 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 219.8 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 719.37 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 2202 shares by Steven Ratner of Mercury Systems at 27.7631 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Mercury Systems Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mercury . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Mercury Systems Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Mercury Systems? Buying financial instruments such as Mercury Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Mercury Systems in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Additional Tools for Mercury Stock Analysis
When running Mercury Systems' price analysis, check to measure Mercury Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mercury Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Mercury Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mercury Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mercury Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mercury Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.