National Rural Utilities Stock Technical Analysis
| NRUC Stock | USD 24.51 0.34 1.37% |
As of the 31st of January, National Rural secures the Downside Deviation of 0.3684, risk adjusted performance of 0.168, and Mean Deviation of 0.3632. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of National Rural Utilities, as well as the relationship between them.
National Rural Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as National, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to NationalNational Rural's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could National diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Rural. Anticipated expansion of National directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every National Rural data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
National Rural Utilities's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on National's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate National Rural's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since National Rural's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between National Rural's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding National Rural should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, National Rural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
National Rural 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to National Rural's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of National Rural.
| 11/02/2025 |
| 01/31/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in National Rural on November 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding National Rural Utilities or generate 0.0% return on investment in National Rural over 90 days. National Rural is related to or competes with CMS Energy, Southern, Duke Energy, Southern, and Affiliated Managers. National Rural is entity of United States More
National Rural Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure National Rural's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess National Rural Utilities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.3684 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1034 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.68 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.9721 |
National Rural Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for National Rural's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as National Rural's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use National Rural historical prices to predict the future National Rural's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.168 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0939 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.066 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1261 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.29 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of National Rural's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
National Rural January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.168 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.3 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.3632 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.0657 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.3684 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 416.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4493 | |||
| Variance | 0.2018 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1034 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0939 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.066 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1261 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.29 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.68 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.9721 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1357 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0043 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.43) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2589 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.58) |
National Rural Utilities Backtested Returns
At this point, National Rural is very steady. National Rural Utilities has Sharpe Ratio of 0.21, which conveys that the firm had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for National Rural, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify National Rural's Mean Deviation of 0.3632, downside deviation of 0.3684, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.168 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. National Rural has a performance score of 16 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0758, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, National Rural's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding National Rural is expected to be smaller as well. National Rural Utilities right now secures a risk of 0.5%. Please verify National Rural Utilities expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if National Rural Utilities will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | 0.09 |
Virtually no predictability
National Rural Utilities has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between National Rural time series from 2nd of November 2025 to 17th of December 2025 and 17th of December 2025 to 31st of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of National Rural Utilities price movement. The serial correlation of 0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current National Rural price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.09 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.09 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.23 |
National Rural technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
National Rural Utilities Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of National Rural Utilities volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About National Rural Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of National Rural Utilities on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Rural Utilities based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on National Rural Utilities price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding National Rural Utilities. By analyzing National Rural's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of National Rural's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to National Rural specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Cash Conversion Cycle | 4.6K | 4.1K | 4.3K | Cash Ratio | 0.0263 | 0.0302 | 0.0287 |
National Rural January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of National help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.168 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.3 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.3632 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.0657 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.3684 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 416.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4493 | |||
| Variance | 0.2018 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1034 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0939 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.066 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1261 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.29 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.68 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.9721 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1357 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0043 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.43) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2589 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.58) |
National Rural January 31, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as National stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.01 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.94) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 24.69 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 24.63 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.35) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.36 |
Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis
When running National Rural's price analysis, check to measure National Rural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Rural is operating at the current time. Most of National Rural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Rural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Rural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Rural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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