Nvidia Stock Technical Analysis
| NVDA Stock | USD 184.98 2.17 1.19% |
As of the 17th of February 2026, NVIDIA secures the risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Mean Deviation of 1.68. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check practical technical drivers of NVIDIA, as well as the relationship between them.
NVIDIA Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as NVIDIA, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to NVIDIANVIDIA's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.NVIDIA Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 253.88 | Strong Buy | 63 | Odds |
Most NVIDIA analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand NVIDIA stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of NVIDIA, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to NVIDIA conference calls.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NVIDIA. Anticipated expansion of NVIDIA directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive NVIDIA assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.667 | Dividend Share 0.04 | Earnings Share 4.04 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.625 |
Understanding NVIDIA requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects NVIDIA's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what NVIDIA's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push NVIDIA's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between NVIDIA's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding NVIDIA should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, NVIDIA's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
NVIDIA 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NVIDIA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NVIDIA.
| 11/19/2025 |
| 02/17/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in NVIDIA on November 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NVIDIA or generate 0.0% return on investment in NVIDIA over 90 days. NVIDIA is related to or competes with Sunrun, CVR Energy, Murphy Oil, Valvoline, California Resources, Valaris, and Magnolia Oil. NVIDIA Corporation provides graphics, and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Taiwan, China, and inte... More
NVIDIA Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NVIDIA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NVIDIA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.51 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.41) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.95 |
NVIDIA Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NVIDIA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NVIDIA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NVIDIA historical prices to predict the future NVIDIA's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.28) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.14) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NVIDIA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NVIDIA February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,036) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Variance | 4.66 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.28) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.51 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.41) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.95 | |||
| Skewness | 0.5546 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.6 |
NVIDIA Backtested Returns
NVIDIA has Sharpe Ratio of close to zero, which conveys that the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. NVIDIA exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify NVIDIA's risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Mean Deviation of 1.68 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.82, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, NVIDIA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding NVIDIA is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, NVIDIA has a negative expected return of -6.0E-4%. Please make sure to verify NVIDIA's total risk alpha, accumulation distribution, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if NVIDIA performance from the past will be repeated at future time.
Auto-correlation | -0.02 |
Very weak reverse predictability
NVIDIA has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NVIDIA time series from 19th of November 2025 to 3rd of January 2026 and 3rd of January 2026 to 17th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NVIDIA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current NVIDIA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.02 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.02 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 20.17 |
NVIDIA technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
NVIDIA Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of NVIDIA volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About NVIDIA Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of NVIDIA on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of NVIDIA based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on NVIDIA price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding NVIDIA. By analyzing NVIDIA's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of NVIDIA's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to NVIDIA specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002664 | 2.87E-4 | 0.001209 | 0.001148 | Price To Sales Ratio | 13.41 | 22.28 | 19.6 | 20.58 |
NVIDIA February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of NVIDIA help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NVIDIA from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze NVIDIA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.13) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,036) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Variance | 4.66 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.28) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.51 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.41) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.95 | |||
| Skewness | 0.5546 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.6 |
NVIDIA February 17, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NVIDIA stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6,887,906 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.27 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 183.17 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 183.77 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.90 |
Complementary Tools for NVIDIA Stock analysis
When running NVIDIA's price analysis, check to measure NVIDIA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NVIDIA is operating at the current time. Most of NVIDIA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NVIDIA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NVIDIA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NVIDIA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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