Obayashi Stock Technical Analysis

OBYCF Stock  USD 23.65  0.25  1.07%   
As of the 28th of January, Obayashi holds the Semi Deviation of 1.29, coefficient of variation of 478.88, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1607. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Obayashi, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Obayashi downside deviation, treynor ratio, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the variance and potential upside to decide if Obayashi is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 23.65 per share. Given that Obayashi has jensen alpha of 0.5061, we recommend you to check out Obayashi's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Obayashi Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Obayashi, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Obayashi
  
Obayashi's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Obayashi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Obayashi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Obayashi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Obayashi 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Obayashi's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Obayashi.
0.00
10/30/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/28/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Obayashi on October 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Obayashi or generate 0.0% return on investment in Obayashi over 90 days. Obayashi is related to or competes with Acciona SA, Eiffage SA, Taisei, Eiffage SA, Skanska AB, AtkinsRéalis, and Strabag SE. Obayashi Corporation engages in the construction business in Japan, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Europe, and Oc... More

Obayashi Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Obayashi's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Obayashi upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Obayashi Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Obayashi's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Obayashi's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Obayashi historical prices to predict the future Obayashi's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Obayashi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0723.6526.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.9225.5028.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.3623.9426.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.1621.9623.77
Details

Obayashi January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators

Obayashi Backtested Returns

Obayashi appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Obayashi maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.22, which implies the firm had a 0.22 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Obayashi's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.58% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Obayashi's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1607, semi deviation of 1.29, and Coefficient Of Variation of 478.88 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Obayashi holds a performance score of 17. The company holds a Beta of 0.095, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Obayashi's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Obayashi is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Obayashi's treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Obayashi's historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.69  

Good predictability

Obayashi has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Obayashi time series from 30th of October 2025 to 14th of December 2025 and 14th of December 2025 to 28th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Obayashi price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Obayashi price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.69
Spearman Rank Test0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.91
Obayashi technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Obayashi technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Obayashi trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Obayashi Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Obayashi across different markets.

About Obayashi Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Obayashi on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Obayashi based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Obayashi price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Obayashi. By analyzing Obayashi's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Obayashi's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Obayashi specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Obayashi January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Obayashi help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Obayashi from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Obayashi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Obayashi January 28, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Obayashi stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Obayashi Pink Sheet analysis

When running Obayashi's price analysis, check to measure Obayashi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Obayashi is operating at the current time. Most of Obayashi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Obayashi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Obayashi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Obayashi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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