Penumbra Stock Technical Analysis
| PEN Stock | USD 358.17 1.17 0.33% |
As of the 31st of January, Penumbra holds the Coefficient Of Variation of 526.26, semi deviation of 1.31, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1452. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Penumbra, as well as the relationship between them.
Penumbra Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Penumbra, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to PenumbraPenumbra's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Penumbra Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 348.53 | Strong Buy | 18 | Odds |
Most Penumbra analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Penumbra stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Penumbra, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Penumbra conference calls.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Penumbra diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penumbra. Anticipated expansion of Penumbra directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Penumbra data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.56 | Earnings Share 4.18 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.178 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Penumbra using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Penumbra's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Penumbra's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Penumbra's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Penumbra should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Penumbra's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Penumbra 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Penumbra's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Penumbra.
| 11/02/2025 |
| 01/31/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Penumbra on November 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Penumbra or generate 0.0% return on investment in Penumbra over 90 days. Penumbra is related to or competes with Globus Medical, Bio Rad, Align Technology, HealthEquity, Hims Hers, DaVita HealthCare, and Charles River. Penumbra, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets medical devices in the United States and internationally More
Penumbra Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Penumbra's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Penumbra upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1759 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.14 |
Penumbra Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Penumbra's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Penumbra's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Penumbra historical prices to predict the future Penumbra's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1452 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5792 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4417 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3067 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.26 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Penumbra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Penumbra January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1452 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.27 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 526.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Variance | 10.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1759 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5792 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4417 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3067 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.26 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.35) | |||
| Skewness | 2.8 | |||
| Kurtosis | 12.95 |
Penumbra Backtested Returns
Penumbra appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Penumbra maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.25, which implies the firm had a 0.25 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Penumbra's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.79% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Penumbra's Semi Deviation of 1.31, coefficient of variation of 526.26, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1452 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Penumbra holds a performance score of 19. The company holds a Beta of 0.47, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Penumbra's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Penumbra is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Penumbra's expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Penumbra's historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.57 |
Modest predictability
Penumbra has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Penumbra time series from 2nd of November 2025 to 17th of December 2025 and 17th of December 2025 to 31st of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Penumbra price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Penumbra price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.57 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.64 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 438.85 |
Penumbra technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Penumbra Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Penumbra volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Penumbra Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Penumbra on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Penumbra based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Penumbra price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Penumbra. By analyzing Penumbra's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Penumbra's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Penumbra specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 13.84 | 14.03 | 16.14 | 19.39 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 376.79 | 337.7 | 303.93 | 262.6 |
Penumbra January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Penumbra help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Penumbra from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Penumbra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1452 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.27 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 526.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Variance | 10.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1759 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5792 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.4417 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3067 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.26 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.35) | |||
| Skewness | 2.8 | |||
| Kurtosis | 12.95 |
Penumbra January 31, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Penumbra stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.01 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.36 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 358.80 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 358.59 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.28 |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Penumbra. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. To learn how to invest in Penumbra Stock, please use our How to Invest in Penumbra guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Penumbra diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penumbra. Anticipated expansion of Penumbra directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Penumbra data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.56 | Earnings Share 4.18 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.178 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Penumbra using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Penumbra's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Penumbra's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Penumbra's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Penumbra should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Penumbra's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.