Riley Exploration Permian Stock Technical Analysis
| REPX Stock | USD 28.51 0.85 3.07% |
As of the 9th of February, Riley Exploration holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0728, semi deviation of 2.1, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1216.64. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Riley Exploration, as well as the relationship between them.
Riley Exploration Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Riley, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to RileyRiley Exploration's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Riley Exploration Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 46.0 | Strong Buy | 2 | Odds |
Most Riley analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Riley stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Riley Exploration Permian, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Riley conference calls.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Riley Exploration. Anticipated expansion of Riley directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Riley Exploration assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | Dividend Share 1.54 | Earnings Share 4.06 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.044 |
The market value of Riley Exploration Permian is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Riley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Riley Exploration's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Riley Exploration's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Riley Exploration's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Riley Exploration's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Riley Exploration's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Riley Exploration should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Riley Exploration's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Riley Exploration 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Riley Exploration's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Riley Exploration.
| 11/11/2025 |
| 02/09/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Riley Exploration on November 11, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Riley Exploration Permian or generate 0.0% return on investment in Riley Exploration over 90 days. Riley Exploration is related to or competes with SandRidge Energy, GeoPark, NGL Energy, Kosmos Energy, Clean Energy, Highpeak Energy, and Vaalco Energy. Riley Exploration Permian, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, de... More
Riley Exploration Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Riley Exploration's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Riley Exploration Permian upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0436 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.29) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.57 |
Riley Exploration Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Riley Exploration's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Riley Exploration's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Riley Exploration historical prices to predict the future Riley Exploration's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0728 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1278 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.042 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2721 |
Riley Exploration February 9, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0728 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2821 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1216.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Variance | 5.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0436 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1278 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.042 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2721 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.29) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.43 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.76) | |||
| Skewness | 0.4423 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4283 |
Riley Exploration Permian Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Riley Stock to be very steady. Riley Exploration Permian maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0793, which implies the firm had a 0.0793 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Riley Exploration Permian, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Riley Exploration's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0728, semi deviation of 2.1, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1216.64 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. Riley Exploration has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 0.66, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Riley Exploration's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Riley Exploration is expected to be smaller as well. Riley Exploration Permian right now holds a risk of 2.19%. Please check Riley Exploration Permian value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if Riley Exploration Permian will be following its historical price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.22 |
Weak predictability
Riley Exploration Permian has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Riley Exploration time series from 11th of November 2025 to 26th of December 2025 and 26th of December 2025 to 9th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Riley Exploration Permian price movement. The serial correlation of 0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Riley Exploration price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.22 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.0 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.45 |
Riley Exploration technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Riley Exploration Permian Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Riley Exploration Permian volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Riley Exploration Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Riley Exploration Permian on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Riley Exploration Permian based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Riley Exploration Permian price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Riley Exploration Permian. By analyzing Riley Exploration's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Riley Exploration's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Riley Exploration specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0516 | 0.0466 | 0.042 | 0.0223 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.43 | 1.61 | 1.85 | 1.76 |
Riley Exploration February 9, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Riley help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Riley from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Riley charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0728 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2821 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1216.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Variance | 5.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0436 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1278 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.042 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2721 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.29) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.43 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.76) | |||
| Skewness | 0.4423 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4283 |
Riley Exploration February 9, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Riley stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.04 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.79 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | ||
| Day Median Price | 28.20 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 28.30 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.74 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.08 |
Additional Tools for Riley Stock Analysis
When running Riley Exploration's price analysis, check to measure Riley Exploration's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Riley Exploration is operating at the current time. Most of Riley Exploration's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Riley Exploration's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Riley Exploration's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Riley Exploration to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.