Royal Gold Stock Technical Analysis
| RGLD Stock | USD 263.31 28.67 9.82% |
As of the 1st of February, Royal Gold holds the Semi Deviation of 2.13, coefficient of variation of 393.29, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.191. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Royal Gold, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Royal Gold jensen alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and potential upside to decide if Royal Gold is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 263.31 per share. Given that Royal Gold has jensen alpha of 0.5769, we recommend you to check out Royal Gold's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Royal Gold Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Royal, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to RoyalRoyal Gold's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Royal Gold Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 305.09 | Buy | 11 | Odds |
Most Royal analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Royal stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Royal Gold, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Royal conference calls.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Royal diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Royal Gold. Anticipated expansion of Royal directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Royal Gold data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.142 | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 7.27 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.059 |
The market value of Royal Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Royal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Royal Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Royal Gold's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Royal Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Royal Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Royal Gold's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Royal Gold should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Royal Gold's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Royal Gold 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Royal Gold's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Royal Gold.
| 11/03/2025 |
| 02/01/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Royal Gold on November 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Royal Gold or generate 0.0% return on investment in Royal Gold over 90 days. Royal Gold is related to or competes with Harmony Gold, Alamos Gold, Coeur Mining, James Hardie, Suzano Papel, Pan American, and Albemarle Corp. Royal Gold, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires and manages precious metal streams, royalties, and related in... More
Royal Gold Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Royal Gold's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Royal Gold upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2362 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.06) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.51 |
Royal Gold Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Royal Gold's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Royal Gold's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Royal Gold historical prices to predict the future Royal Gold's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.191 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5769 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.5024 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2152 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4762 |
Royal Gold February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.191 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4862 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 393.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Variance | 6.19 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2362 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5769 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.5024 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2152 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4762 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.06) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.52 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.98) | |||
| Skewness | (0.86) | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.81 |
Royal Gold Backtested Returns
Royal Gold appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Royal Gold maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.28, which implies the firm had a 0.28 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Royal Gold's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.7% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Royal Gold's Semi Deviation of 2.13, risk adjusted performance of 0.191, and Coefficient Of Variation of 393.29 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Royal Gold holds a performance score of 22. The company holds a Beta of 1.31, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Royal Gold will likely underperform. Please check Royal Gold's accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the semi variance and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Royal Gold's historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.76 |
Good predictability
Royal Gold has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Royal Gold time series from 3rd of November 2025 to 18th of December 2025 and 18th of December 2025 to 1st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Royal Gold price movement. The serial correlation of 0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Royal Gold price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.76 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.78 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 640.75 |
Royal Gold technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Royal Gold Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Royal Gold volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Royal Gold Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Royal Gold on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Royal Gold based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Royal Gold price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Royal Gold. By analyzing Royal Gold's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Royal Gold's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Royal Gold specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0124 | 0.0122 | Price To Sales Ratio | 12.4 | 12.15 |
Royal Gold February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Royal help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Royal from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Royal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.191 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4862 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 393.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Variance | 6.19 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2362 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.5769 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.5024 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2152 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4762 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.06) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.52 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.98) | |||
| Skewness | (0.86) | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.81 |
Royal Gold February 1, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Royal stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.08 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.35) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.90 | ||
| Day Median Price | 269.21 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 267.24 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (20.23) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 21.24 |
Complementary Tools for Royal Stock analysis
When running Royal Gold's price analysis, check to measure Royal Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Royal Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Royal Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Royal Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Royal Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Royal Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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