Sps Commerce Stock Technical Analysis
| SPSC Stock | USD 64.78 3.76 5.49% |
As of the 12th of February 2026, SPS Commerce has the variance of 4.35, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08). Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check available technical drivers of SPS Commerce, as well as the relationship between them.
SPS Commerce Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as SPS, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to SPSSPS Commerce's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.SPS Commerce Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 99.82 | Strong Buy | 12 | Odds |
Most SPS analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand SPS stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of SPS Commerce, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to SPS conference calls.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could SPS diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SPS Commerce. If investors know SPS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every SPS Commerce data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.081 | Earnings Share 2.06 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.16 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate SPS Commerce using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating SPS Commerce's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause SPS Commerce's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SPS Commerce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SPS Commerce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, SPS Commerce's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
SPS Commerce 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SPS Commerce's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SPS Commerce.
| 11/14/2025 |
| 02/12/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in SPS Commerce on November 14, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SPS Commerce or generate 0.0% return on investment in SPS Commerce over 90 days. SPS Commerce is related to or competes with Euronet Worldwide, PagSeguro Digital, WeRide American, Avepoint, BlackBerry, DigitalOcean Holdings, and Clear Secure. SPS Commerce, Inc. provides cloud-based supply chain management solutions worldwide More
SPS Commerce Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SPS Commerce's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SPS Commerce upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.94 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.36) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.21 |
SPS Commerce Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SPS Commerce's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SPS Commerce's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SPS Commerce historical prices to predict the future SPS Commerce's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.48) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.24) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SPS Commerce's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SPS Commerce February 12, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.23) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (942.85) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Variance | 4.35 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.48) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.24) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.94 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.36) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.21 | |||
| Skewness | (1.54) | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.8 |
SPS Commerce Backtested Returns
SPS Commerce owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.16, which indicates the firm had a -0.16 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. SPS Commerce exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate SPS Commerce's risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Variance of 4.35 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.96, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. SPS Commerce returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, SPS Commerce is expected to follow. At this point, SPS Commerce has a negative expected return of -0.35%. Please make sure to validate SPS Commerce's maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and day typical price , to decide if SPS Commerce performance from the past will be repeated at some future point.
Auto-correlation | -0.71 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
SPS Commerce has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SPS Commerce time series from 14th of November 2025 to 29th of December 2025 and 29th of December 2025 to 12th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SPS Commerce price movement. The serial correlation of -0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current SPS Commerce price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.71 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.51 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 28.11 |
SPS Commerce technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
SPS Commerce Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for SPS Commerce across different markets.
About SPS Commerce Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of SPS Commerce on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of SPS Commerce based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on SPS Commerce price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding SPS Commerce. By analyzing SPS Commerce's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of SPS Commerce's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to SPS Commerce specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 22.11 | 13.06 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 138.64 | 97.32 |
SPS Commerce February 12, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of SPS help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SPS from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze SPS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.23) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (942.85) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Variance | 4.35 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.48) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.24) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.94 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.36) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.21 | |||
| Skewness | (1.54) | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.8 |
SPS Commerce February 12, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SPS stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 103,870 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.89) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | ||
| Day Median Price | 66.30 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 65.79 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.40) |
Complementary Tools for SPS Stock analysis
When running SPS Commerce's price analysis, check to measure SPS Commerce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SPS Commerce is operating at the current time. Most of SPS Commerce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SPS Commerce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SPS Commerce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SPS Commerce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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