1st Source Stock Technical Analysis
| SRCE Stock | USD 67.33 1.42 2.15% |
As of the 31st of January, 1st Source shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.0795, and Mean Deviation of 0.9973. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model gives you tools to check existing technical drivers of 1st Source, as well as the relationship between them. Please confirm 1st Source value at risk, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and kurtosis to decide if 1st Source is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 67.33 per share. Given that 1st Source has jensen alpha of 0.0943, we suggest you to validate 1st Source's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
1st Source Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as 1st, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to 1st1st Source's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.1st Source Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 76.33 | Buy | 3 | Odds |
Most 1st analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand 1st stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of 1st Source, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to 1st conference calls.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could 1st diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of 1st Source. If investors know 1st will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every 1st Source data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.315 | Earnings Share 6.41 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.157 | Return On Assets |
Understanding 1st Source requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects 1st's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what 1st Source's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push 1st Source's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between 1st Source's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 1st Source is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, 1st Source's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
1st Source 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 1st Source's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 1st Source.
| 11/02/2025 |
| 01/31/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 1st Source on November 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding 1st Source or generate 0.0% return on investment in 1st Source over 90 days. 1st Source is related to or competes with ST Bancorp, Lakeland Financial, TriCo Bancshares, German American, First Merchants, Merchants Bancorp, and Stellar Bancorp. 1st Source Corporation operates as the bank holding company for 1st Source Bank that provides commercial and consumer ba... More
1st Source Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 1st Source's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess 1st Source upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0566 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.22 |
1st Source Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 1st Source's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 1st Source's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 1st Source historical prices to predict the future 1st Source's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0795 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0943 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0328 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0623 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2058 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1st Source's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
1st Source January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0795 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2158 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9973 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 968.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Variance | 1.72 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0566 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0943 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0328 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0623 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2058 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.42 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.16) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1319 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4497 |
1st Source Backtested Returns
1st Source appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. 1st Source secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which signifies that the company had a 0.17 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for 1st Source, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of 1st Source's mean deviation of 0.9973, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0795 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, 1st Source holds a performance score of 13. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.61, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 1st Source's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 1st Source is expected to be smaller as well. Please check 1st Source's kurtosis, market facilitation index, and the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether 1st Source's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.53 |
Modest predictability
1st Source has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 1st Source time series from 2nd of November 2025 to 17th of December 2025 and 17th of December 2025 to 31st of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 1st Source price movement. The serial correlation of 0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current 1st Source price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.53 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.4 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.23 |
1st Source technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
1st Source Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of 1st Source volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About 1st Source Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of 1st Source on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of 1st Source based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on 1st Source price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding 1st Source. By analyzing 1st Source's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of 1st Source's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to 1st Source specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0248 | 0.0243 | 0.0178 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.51 | 2.54 | 1.78 |
1st Source January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of 1st help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 1st from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze 1st charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0795 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2158 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9973 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 968.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Variance | 1.72 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0566 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0943 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0328 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0623 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2058 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.42 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.16) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1319 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4497 |
1st Source January 31, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as 1st stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.03 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.61 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 66.17 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 66.56 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.87 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.32 |
Complementary Tools for 1st Stock analysis
When running 1st Source's price analysis, check to measure 1st Source's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1st Source is operating at the current time. Most of 1st Source's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1st Source's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1st Source's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1st Source to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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