Tfs Financial Stock Technical Analysis
| TFSL Stock | USD 14.69 0.55 3.89% |
As of the 30th of January, TFS Financial has the risk adjusted performance of 0.0812, and Coefficient Of Variation of 954.54. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check practical technical drivers of TFS Financial, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate TFS Financial jensen alpha and downside variance to decide if TFS Financial is priced adequately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 14.69 per share. Given that TFS Financial has jensen alpha of 0.1059, we advise you to double-check TFS Financial's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at some point in the future.
TFS Financial Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as TFS, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TFSTFS Financial's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.TFS Financial Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 14.5 | Hold | 2 | Odds |
Most TFS analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand TFS stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of TFS Financial, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to TFS conference calls.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TFS Financial. If investors know TFS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive TFS Financial assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.5 | Dividend Share 1.13 | Earnings Share 0.32 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.14 |
Investors evaluate TFS Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating TFS Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause TFS Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TFS Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TFS Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, TFS Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
TFS Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TFS Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TFS Financial.
| 11/01/2025 |
| 01/30/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in TFS Financial on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TFS Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in TFS Financial over 90 days. TFS Financial is related to or competes with Texas Capital, Fulton Financial, Bancorp, MT Bank, United Community, Inter Co, and Associated Banc. TFS Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides retail consumer banking services in the United States More
TFS Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TFS Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TFS Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0639 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.15 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.24) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.76 |
TFS Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TFS Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TFS Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TFS Financial historical prices to predict the future TFS Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0812 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1059 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0412 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0649 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1826 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TFS Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TFS Financial January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0812 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1926 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 954.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Variance | 2.25 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0639 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1059 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0412 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0649 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1826 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.15 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.24) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.22) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2051 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.2321 |
TFS Financial Backtested Returns
As of now, TFS Stock is very steady. TFS Financial owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the firm had a 0.11 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for TFS Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate TFS Financial's risk adjusted performance of 0.0812, and Coefficient Of Variation of 954.54 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. TFS Financial has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.81, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, TFS Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding TFS Financial is expected to be smaller as well. TFS Financial currently has a risk of 1.48%. Please validate TFS Financial downside variance, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to decide if TFS Financial will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.35 |
Below average predictability
TFS Financial has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TFS Financial time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TFS Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current TFS Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.35 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.18 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.09 |
TFS Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
TFS Financial Technical Analysis
Indicator |
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The True Range is a measure of TFS Financial volatility developed by Welles Wilder.
About TFS Financial Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of TFS Financial on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of TFS Financial based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on TFS Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding TFS Financial. By analyzing TFS Financial's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of TFS Financial's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to TFS Financial specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0165 | 0.0146 | 0.007518 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.71 | 4.17 | 6.36 |
TFS Financial January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of TFS help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TFS from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze TFS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0812 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1926 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 954.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Variance | 2.25 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0639 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1059 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0412 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0649 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1826 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.15 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.24) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.22) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2051 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.2321 |
TFS Financial January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as TFS stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 32,254 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.95 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | ||
| Day Median Price | 14.40 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 14.50 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.56 |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in TFS Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. For more information on how to buy TFS Stock please use our How to buy in TFS Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TFS Financial. If investors know TFS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive TFS Financial assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.5 | Dividend Share 1.13 | Earnings Share 0.32 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.14 |
Investors evaluate TFS Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating TFS Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause TFS Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TFS Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TFS Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, TFS Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.