Union Bankshares Stock Technical Analysis
| UNB Stock | USD 24.67 -0.31 -1.24% |
According to pricing data from the 7th of May, Union Bankshares trades at 24.67 per share. Quantitative signals reflect Semi Deviation of 2.05, coefficient of variation of 6840.29, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0196. Volume-adjusted indicators are evaluated relative to historical ranges. Current technical signals are evaluated against industry dispersion.
Union Bankshares Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Union Bankshares, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Union BanksharesUnion Bankshares |
Book value captures Union Bankshares accounting equity, while market value captures the collective view of participants. Union Bankshares' market capitalization is 109.77 million. At P/B 1.43, Union Bankshares trades moderately above book value. Enterprise value (TTM) stands at 393.69 million. For Union Bankshares, intrinsic value estimation helps reconcile what the market pays with what the books show.
Distinguishing between Union Bankshares' value and market price helps frame analytical expectations. For Union Bankshares, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 8.72, a P/B ratio of 1.43, a profit margin of 20.64%, and ROE of 15.04%.
What-If Analysis
Running a what-if backtest on Union Bankshares provides a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. The analytical value is perspective: it shows whether the thesis would have remained investable across different historical windows or depended too heavily on one favorable stretch.
| 02/06/2026 |
| 05/07/2026 |
Had you placed 0.00 in Union Bankshares on February 6, 2026 and held until today, you would produce 0.00 in net return. The result is a 0.0% net return in Union Bankshares on balance measured over 90 days. Union Bankshares has comparable peers such as Magyar Bancorp, Sound Financial, First Guaranty, SB Financial, Riverview Bancorp, Affinity Bancshares, and Lake Shore. Union Bankshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Union Bank that provides retail, commercial, and municip... More
Union Bankshares Momentum Range Indicators Summary
Upside and downside measures for Union Bankshares frame directional pressure and range behavior. The indicators distinguish between mean-reverting behavior and sustained directional moves.
| Downside Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0053 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | -3.24 | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.9 |
Union Bankshares Market Risk Indicators Signals
Risk metrics describing Union Bankshares' historical price variability are presented below. Standard deviation of returns over multiple windows measures the magnitude of typical price swings.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0196 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0128 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | -0.0007 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0053 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0252 |
Experienced market participants anticipate that Union Bankshares' price will even out over time. Periods when Union Bankshares' deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis. Mean reversion in Union Bankshares' serves as a complement to momentum analysis.
Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0196 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0352 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 6840.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Variance | 4.53 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0053 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0128 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | -0.0007 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0053 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0252 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | -3.24 | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.59 | |||
| Skewness | 0.3638 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.59 |
Union Bankshares Backtested Returns
Union Bankshares remains characterized by a very low volatility profile within the selected investment span. It reports a risk-adjusted return measure of 0.0257, confirming risk-adjusted performance over 3 months. Statistical review highlighted thirty performance-related signals. Please review metrics such as Semi Deviation of 2.05, coefficient of variation of 6840.29, and risk-adjusted performance of 0.0196 to assess internal risk calibration. Union Bankshares has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company maintains a beta of 0.84, which signifies generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. With a sub-1 beta, Union Bankshares typically participates in market rallies at a reduced pace while often limiting downside exposure. Union Bankshares at this moment maintains a risk of 2.14%.
Auto-correlation | -0.54 |
Good reverse predictability
The autocorrelation profile for Union Bankshares registers good reverse predictability between the two measured intervals. When lagged price patterns show consistency, they can serve as a partial input for modeling Union Bankshares's near-term price behavior. A serial correlation of -0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Union Bankshares price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements. Given that Union Bankshares has negative autocorrelation for the selected time horizon, market participants may evaluate potential contrarian price behavior over comparable future intervals.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.54 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.59 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.41 |
Price behavior for Union Bankshares is studied within a technical framework. All inputs are derived from historical price and volume observations.
Technical Analysis
This analysis covers thirty-seven data points across the selected time horizon. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Union Bankshares volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators
Technical analysis of Union Bankshares evaluates price structure, momentum, and volatility clustering. Oscillator extremes can precede mean reversion under certain regimes. Union Bankshares has a market cap of 109.77 million, P/E of 8.72, ROE of 15.04%.
Union Bankshares values are built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with reporting definitions aligned before display.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Michael Smolkin, Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Technical Indicators
Investors following Union Bankshares often rely on technical indicators to test whether price action is supporting continuation, exhaustion, or a possible change in direction. When applied, technical indicators support timing and risk control but warrant validation against broader market and business context.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0196 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0352 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 6840.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Variance | 4.53 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0053 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0128 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | -0.0007 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0053 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0252 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | -3.24 | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.59 | |||
| Skewness | 0.3638 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.59 |
May 7, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Investors following Union Bankshares often rely on technical indicators to test whether price action is supporting continuation, exhaustion, or a possible change in direction. When applied, technical indicators support timing and risk control but warrant validation against broader market and business context.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -2.58 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 24.73 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 24.71 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.21 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.12 |
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