Apollo Commercial Valuation

ARI Stock  USD 10.66  0.00  0.00%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Apollo Commercial Real shows a prevailing Real Value of $11.81 per share. The current price of the firm is $10.66. Our model approximates the value of Apollo Commercial Real from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 8.81 B, return on equity of 0.0741, and Profit Margin of 0.51 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Apollo Commercial's valuation include:
Price Book
0.8059
Enterprise Value
8.8 B
Price Sales
5.5723
Forward PE
15.528
Trailing PE
12.2727
Undervalued
Today
10.66
Please note that Apollo Commercial's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Apollo Commercial Real is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Apollo Commercial's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Apollo Commercial is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Apollo Stock. However, Apollo Commercial's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.66 Real  11.81 Target  11.45 Hype  10.79
The intrinsic value of Apollo Commercial's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Apollo Commercial's stock price.
11.81
Real Value
13.10
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Apollo Commercial Real helps investors to forecast how Apollo stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Apollo Commercial more accurately as focusing exclusively on Apollo Commercial's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.250.260.27
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.5010.7912.08
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.4211.4512.71
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Apollo Commercial Real, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Apollo Commercial Cash

185.66 Million

Apollo Commercial Total Value Analysis

Apollo Commercial Real is presently projected to have company total value of 8.81 B with market capitalization of 1.5 B, debt of 6.39 B, and cash on hands of 568.48 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Apollo Commercial fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
8.81 B
1.5 B
6.39 B
568.48 M

Apollo Commercial Investor Information

About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Apollo Commercial Real last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The entity had 1:15 split on the December 7, 2009. Apollo Commercial Real is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high odds of going through financial crisis in March.

Apollo Commercial Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Apollo Commercial has an asset utilization ratio of 8.34 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.0834 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Apollo Commercial Real is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Apollo Commercial Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration Apollo Commercial's profitability measurements, Apollo Commercial Real may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high odds of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Apollo Commercial's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2009-12-31
Previous Quarter
20.7 M
Current Value
50.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
47.3 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The Apollo Commercial's current Gross Profit is estimated to increase to about 690.8 M, while Pretax Profit Margin is forecasted to increase to (0.19).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.90.94
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
For Apollo Commercial profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Apollo Commercial Real to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Apollo Commercial utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Apollo Commercial's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Apollo Commercial over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Apollo Commercial Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Apollo Commercial is estimated to be 0.2597 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.25 to a high of 0.27. Apollo Commercial's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 0.88. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Apollo Commercial Real is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Apollo Commercial is projected to generate 0.2597 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Apollo Commercial earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Apollo Commercial EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Apollo Commercial's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Apollo Commercial, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Apollo Commercial Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Apollo Commercial's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Apollo Commercial is estimated to be 0.2597 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.25 to a high of 0.27. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Apollo Commercial Real is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.25
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.2597
0.27
Highest

Apollo Commercial Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Apollo Commercial's value are higher than the current market price of the Apollo Commercial stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Apollo Commercial is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Apollo Commercial's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
576.37%
0.0
0.2597
0.88

Apollo Commercial Ownership Allocation

Apollo Commercial holds a total of 138.94 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Apollo Commercial's outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Apollo Commercial Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 701.53 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (122.89 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 187.82 M.

Apollo Commercial Past Distributions to stockholders

About Apollo Commercial Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Apollo Stock, attempts to find the value of Apollo Commercial Real based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Apollo Commercial's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Apollo Commercial's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Apollo Commercial. We calculate exposure to Apollo Commercial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Apollo Commercial's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit657.9 M690.8 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.20)(0.19)
Operating Profit Margin 0.54  0.50 
Net Loss(0.17)(0.15)
Gross Profit Margin 0.94  0.90 
Apollo Commercial's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Apollo Commercial's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Apollo Commercial can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Apollo Commercial represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Apollo, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Apollo Commercial Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The Apollo Commercial's current Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.99, while Dividends Paid is projected to decrease to under 171.6 M. . The Apollo Commercial's current Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.03, while Retained Earnings are forecasted to increase to (703.4 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid228 M171.6 M
Dividend Yield 0.15  0.10 
Dividend Payout Ratio(1.49)(1.42)
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.63  0.99 
There are various types of dividends Apollo Commercial can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Apollo shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Apollo Commercial Real directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Apollo pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Apollo Commercial by the value of the dividends paid out.

Apollo Commercial Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding139.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.471
Forward Price Earnings15.528

Apollo Commercial Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Apollo Commercial Real and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Apollo we look at many different elements of the entity such as Apollo's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Apollo Commercial, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Apollo Commercial's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Apollo Commercial's worth.

Complementary Tools for Apollo Stock analysis

When running Apollo Commercial's price analysis, check to measure Apollo Commercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apollo Commercial is operating at the current time. Most of Apollo Commercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apollo Commercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apollo Commercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apollo Commercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities