Apollo Commercial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ARI Stock | USD 9.81 0.04 0.41% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Apollo Commercial Real on the next trading day is expected to be 9.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.15. Apollo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Apollo Commercial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The RSI of Apollo Commercial's share price is below 30 as of 6th of January 2026. This suggests that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Apollo Commercial Real, making its price go up or down. Momentum 23
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.47) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1441 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.971 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.944 | Wall Street Target Price 10.7917 |
Using Apollo Commercial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Apollo Commercial Real from the perspective of Apollo Commercial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Apollo Commercial using Apollo Commercial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Apollo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Apollo Commercial's stock price.
Apollo Commercial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Apollo Commercial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Apollo. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Apollo Commercial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 9.874 | Short Percent 0.0324 | Short Ratio 3.77 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.4 M | 50 Day MA 9.991 |
Apollo Commercial Real Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Apollo Commercial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Apollo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Apollo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Apollo Commercial Real. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Apollo Commercial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Apollo Commercial.
Apollo Commercial Implied Volatility | 1.23 |
Apollo Commercial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Apollo Commercial Real stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Apollo Commercial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Apollo Commercial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Apollo Commercial's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Apollo Commercial Real on the next trading day is expected to be 9.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.15. Apollo Commercial after-hype prediction price | USD 9.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apollo Commercial to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Apollo Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Apollo Commercial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Apollo Commercial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Apollo Commercial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Apollo Commercial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Apollo Commercial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Apollo Commercial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Apollo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Apollo Commercial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Apollo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Apollo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Apollo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Apollo Commercial Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Apollo Commercial's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2009-09-30 | Previous Quarter 177.6 M | Current Value 245.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 129.1 M |
Apollo Commercial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Apollo Commercial Real on the next trading day is expected to be 9.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Apollo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Apollo Commercial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Apollo Commercial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Apollo Commercial | Apollo Commercial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Apollo Commercial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Apollo Commercial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Apollo Commercial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.71 and 11.20, respectively. We have considered Apollo Commercial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Apollo Commercial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Apollo Commercial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6121 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0844 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0087 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.1503 |
Predictive Modules for Apollo Commercial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apollo Commercial Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Apollo Commercial
For every potential investor in Apollo, whether a beginner or expert, Apollo Commercial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Apollo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Apollo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Apollo Commercial's price trends.Apollo Commercial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Apollo Commercial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Apollo Commercial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apollo Commercial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Apollo Commercial Real Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Apollo Commercial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Apollo Commercial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Apollo Commercial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Apollo Commercial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Apollo Commercial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Apollo Commercial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Apollo Commercial Real entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Apollo Commercial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Apollo Commercial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apollo Commercial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apollo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9423 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Variance | 1.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.58 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.98) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Apollo Commercial Real offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Apollo Commercial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Apollo Commercial Real Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Apollo Commercial Real Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apollo Commercial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apollo Commercial. If investors know Apollo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apollo Commercial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.47) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 0.88 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of Apollo Commercial Real is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apollo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apollo Commercial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apollo Commercial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apollo Commercial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apollo Commercial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apollo Commercial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apollo Commercial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apollo Commercial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.