National Retail Valuation

NNN Stock  USD 43.66  0.03  0.07%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. National Retail Prop secures a last-minute Real Value of $40.18 per share. The latest price of the firm is $43.66. Our model forecasts the value of National Retail Prop from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 12.39 B, return on equity of 0.0928, and Profit Margin of 0.46 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting National Retail's valuation include:
Price Book
1.874
Enterprise Value
12.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
15.0552
Price Sales
9.4432
Forward PE
21.4592
Overvalued
Today
43.66
Please note that National Retail's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of National Retail Prop is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing National Retail's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since National Retail is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of National Stock. However, National Retail's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  43.66 Real  40.18 Target  43.54 Hype  43.63 Naive  46.52
The intrinsic value of National Retail's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence National Retail's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
40.18
Real Value
48.03
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of National Retail Properties helps investors to forecast how National stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of National Retail more accurately as focusing exclusively on National Retail's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.490.490.49
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.4943.6344.77
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
1.791.881.97
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
39.6243.5448.33
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use National Retail's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of National Retail's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against National Retail's closest peers.

National Retail Cash

1.13 Million

National Valuation Trend

Knowing National Retail's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both National Retail's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

National Retail Total Value Analysis

National Retail Properties is now estimated to have company total value of 12.39 B with market capitalization of 8.19 B, debt of 4.36 B, and cash on hands of 2.5 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the National Retail fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
12.39 B
8.19 B
4.36 B
2.5 M

National Retail Investor Information

About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.87. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National Retail Prop last dividend was issued on the 31st of October 2024. Based on the analysis of National Retail's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, National Retail Properties is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to report excellent financial results in December.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.870.6703
Significantly Up
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities643 M612.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income582.9 M555.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

National Retail Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. National Retail has an asset utilization ratio of 9.56 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.0956 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that National Retail Properties is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid

National Retail Ownership Allocation

National Retail Prop maintains a total of 187.53 Million outstanding shares. The majority of National Retail outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in National Retail Properties to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in National Retail Prop. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of National Retail as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

National Retail Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 828.11 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 392.34 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 746.77 M.

National Retail Past Distributions to stockholders

About National Retail Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Retail Properties. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of National Retail Prop based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing National Retail's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of National Retail's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of National Retail. We calculate exposure to National Retail's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of National Retail's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit799.7 M839.7 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.47  0.56 
Operating Profit Margin 0.67  0.87 
Net Profit Margin 0.47  0.58 
Gross Profit Margin 0.97  0.75 
National Retail's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether National Retail's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of National Retail can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of National Retail represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of National, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

National Retail Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of the 25th of November 2024, Dividends Paid is likely to grow to about 424.7 M. Also, Dividend Yield is likely to grow to 0.08. As of the 25th of November 2024, Earnings Yield is likely to grow to 0.08, though Retained Earnings are likely to grow to (765.6 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid404.5 M424.7 M
Dividend Yield 0.05  0.08 
Dividend Payout Ratio 1.03  1.06 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.51  1.59 
There are various types of dividends National Retail can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of National shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from National Retail Properties directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When National pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of National Retail by the value of the dividends paid out.

National Retail Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding181.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.098
Forward Price Earnings21.4592

National Retail Current Valuation Indicators

National Retail's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final National Retail's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as National Retail, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use National Retail's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes National Retail's worth.
When determining whether National Retail Prop offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of National Retail's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of National Retail Properties Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on National Retail Properties Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National Retail Properties. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Retail. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Retail listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.1)
Dividend Share
2.275
Earnings Share
2.16
Revenue Per Share
4.753
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.065
The market value of National Retail Prop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Retail's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Retail's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Retail's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Retail's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Retail's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Retail is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Retail's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.