National Retail Properties Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NNN Stock | USD 40.07 0.13 0.33% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding National Retail Properties is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of National Retail's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out National Retail Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as National and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards National Retail Properties. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
National |
Execute National Retail Buy or Sell Advice
The National recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on National Retail Properties. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in National Retail Properties or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute National Retail's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
National Retail Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| National Retail Prop generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| National Retail Properties has 4.36 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.95, which is OK given its current industry classification. National Retail Prop has a current ratio of 0.65, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 92.0% of National Retail shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: NNN REIT Downgraded by Janney Montgomery Scott to Neutral |
National Retail Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of National Retail's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of National Retail's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of National Retail daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use National Retail Properties price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of National Retail returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for National Retail.
| Mean Return | -0.24 | Value At Risk | -2.5 | Potential Upside | 1.63 | Standard Deviation | 1.32 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of National Retail historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
National Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as National Retail, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National Retail Properties back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 2.7 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.5 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 2.4 M | Federated Hermes Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.3 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 2.2 M | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M | Mondrian Investment Partners Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 1.9 M | Long Pond Capital, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 26.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 21.8 M |
National Retail Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 266.1M | (95.9M) | (164.5M) | (1.6M) | (1.5M) | (1.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 450.2M | 568.4M | 578.4M | 612.4M | 704.3M | 739.5M | |
| Depreciation | 196.6M | 205.2M | 223.8M | 238.6M | 274.4M | 288.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (6.0M) | 4.9M | (525K) | (19.6M) | (17.6M) | (16.7M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 374.3M | 382.3M | 380.5M | 404.5M | 465.1M | 488.4M | |
| Net Income | 228.8M | 290.1M | 334.6M | 392.3M | 451.2M | 473.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 267.2M | 171.3M | 6.8M | 5.2M | 5.9M | 5.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | (34.8M) | (25.6M) | (1.8M) | (17.4M) | (15.7M) | (16.5M) | |
| Investments | (195.6M) | (552.8M) | (842.4M) | (687.1M) | (790.2M) | (829.7M) | |
| Change Receivables | 923K | (1.5M) | 1.2M | 358K | 411.7K | 432.3K | |
| Net Borrowings | 132.9M | 208.8M | 491.4M | 165.3M | 148.8M | 259.6M |
National Retail Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to National Retail or Retail REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that National Retail's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a National stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
National Retail Volatility Alert
National Retail Properties exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.38 and kurtosis of 0.91. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure National Retail's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact National Retail's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.National Retail Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing National Retail's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze National Retail's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between National Retail and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as National Retail or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of National Retail's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Retail by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare National Retail to competition |
| Fundamentals | National Retail | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0928 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.039 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.46 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.63 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 11.71 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 187.53 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.77 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 91.75 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.42 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 26.31 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.72 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 8.67 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 828.11 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 837.6 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 793.73 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 392.34 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.5 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.02 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.36 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.95 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.66 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 23.30 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 612.41 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.65 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.17 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 4.92 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 45.2 | |
| Number Of Employees | 82 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.09 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 7.51 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 8.66 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (805.88 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (115.14 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Insider Trading [view details]
National Retail Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as National . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About National Retail Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell National Retail Properties? Buying financial instruments such as National Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having National Retail in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Cleaning Thematic Idea Now
Cleaning
Compnanies producing and distributing cleaning products, supplies, and accessories. The Cleaning theme has 27 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Cleaning Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out National Retail Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Retail. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Retail listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.1) | Dividend Share 2.275 | Earnings Share 2.17 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.065 |
The market value of National Retail Prop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Retail's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Retail's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Retail's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Retail's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Retail's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Retail is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Retail's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.