Obsidian Energy Valuation

OBE Stock  USD 5.86  0.05  0.86%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Obsidian Energy holds a recent Real Value of $7.18 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $5.86. Our model determines the value of Obsidian Energy from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.28 %, return on equity of 0.0699, and Shares Outstanding of 74.47 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Obsidian Energy's valuation include:
Price Book
0.3547
Enterprise Value
683.3 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
2.2488
Price Sales
0.6214
Forward PE
4.075
Undervalued
Today
5.86
Please note that Obsidian Energy's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Obsidian Energy is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Obsidian Energy's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Obsidian stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Obsidian Energy. Since Obsidian Energy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Obsidian Stock. However, Obsidian Energy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  5.86 Real  7.18 Target  10.92 Hype  5.89 Naive  5.65
The real value of Obsidian Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Obsidian Energy Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Obsidian Energy's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Obsidian Energy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
7.18
Real Value
10.03
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Obsidian Energy helps investors to forecast how Obsidian stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Obsidian Energy more accurately as focusing exclusively on Obsidian Energy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.340.340.34
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.045.898.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.795.658.50
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
9.9410.9212.12
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Obsidian Energy's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Obsidian Energy's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Obsidian Energy's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Obsidian Energy we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Obsidian Energy Cash

475,000

Obsidian Valuation Trend

Comparing Obsidian Energy's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of Obsidian Energy uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Obsidian Energy Total Value Analysis

Obsidian Energy is now forecasted to have company total value of 683.33 M with market capitalization of 433.27 M, debt of 228 M, and cash on hands of 9.2 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Obsidian Energy fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
683.33 M
433.27 M
228 M
9.2 M

Obsidian Energy Investor Information

About 24.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.35. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Obsidian Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.53. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of September 2015. The firm had 1:7 split on the 10th of June 2019. Based on the key measurements obtained from Obsidian Energy's financial statements, Obsidian Energy is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great risk to report excellent financial results in December.

Obsidian Energy Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Obsidian Energy has an asset utilization ratio of 29.03 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.29 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Obsidian Energy is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid

Obsidian Energy Ownership Allocation

Obsidian Energy owns a total of 74.47 Million outstanding shares. Roughly 73.44 pct. of Obsidian Energy outstanding shares are held by general public with 2.75 % owned by insiders and only 23.81 (%) by third-party entities. Please note that no matter how many assets the company maintains, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Obsidian Energy Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 653.3 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 108 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 549.1 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Obsidian Energy's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Obsidian Energy and how it compares across the competition.

About Obsidian Energy Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Obsidian Energy's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Obsidian Energy. We calculate exposure to Obsidian Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Obsidian Energy's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit183.6 M174.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.22  0.23 
Operating Profit Margin 0.22  0.23 
Net Profit Margin 0.17  0.17 
Gross Profit Margin 0.28  0.30 

Obsidian Energy Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Obsidian Energy does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding84.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.4
Forward Price Earnings4.075

Obsidian Energy Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Obsidian Energy and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Obsidian we look at many different elements of the entity such as Obsidian's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Obsidian Energy, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Obsidian Energy's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Obsidian Energy's worth.

Complementary Tools for Obsidian Stock analysis

When running Obsidian Energy's price analysis, check to measure Obsidian Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Obsidian Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Obsidian Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Obsidian Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Obsidian Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Obsidian Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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